V2X, Inc. (VVX) Fair Value 2026

VVX · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (11/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, V2X, Inc. (VVX) trades at $78.45, versus a $149.37 median fair value across its 10 active models — 90.4% above the current price. QOC: 8.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 11/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $347.70.

Key Facts

Ticker
VVX
Price
$78.45
Quality Score
8.3/10
Value Trap Risk
11/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +343.2% upside with 66% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is V2X, Inc. (VVX) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, V2X, Inc. (VVX) appears undervalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $149.37, 90.4% above the current price of $78.45. Estimates range from $32.87 to $347.70. VVX scores 8.3/10 on fundamental quality and 11/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. VVX’s +90.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Aerospace & Defense sector median is -23.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy V2X, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give VVX?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($78.45)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $347.70 +343.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $161.38 +105.7%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $228.24 +190.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $32.87 -58.1%
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What Is VVX's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $32.87 to $347.70

CirclFi's 10 active models place V2X, Inc. (VVX) between $32.87 and $347.70 per share, a spread of 211% of the median. The median of that range — $149.37 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for VVX, against a current price of $78.45.

Low · EROICHigh · Bayesian DCF
$32.87median $149.37$347.70
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$32.87
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$347.70
Model agreement8 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for VVX. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on VVX, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is V2X, Inc. (VVX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, V2X, Inc. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $78.45. Based on our 13-model framework, V2X, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $149.37 — representing +90.4% implied upside — with 8 out of 10 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $347.70 (+343.2%), versus EROIC at $32.87 (-58.1%). This +401.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About VVX?

10 of 13 models are currently active for VVX. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for VVX is $149.37 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $347.70 on its own, implying +343.2% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does VVX Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 92 Aerospace & Defense stocks, VVX ranks #20 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places VVX in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

The Aerospace & Defense sector introduces analytical considerations specific to aerospace company businesses. For V2X, Inc., metrics like commercial deliveries provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is VVX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns VVX a score of 11/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for V2X, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, V2X, Inc. earns a quality score of 8.3/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +401.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every VVX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across VVX's 10 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy V2X, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

TXTTextron Inc.QOC 8.3CDRECadre Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.1ATROAstronics CorporationQOC 8.4AIRAAR Corp.QOC 8.1PKEPark Aerospace Corp.QOC 8.4BYRNByrna Technologies Inc.QOC 8.1RDWRedwire CorporationQOC 6.7MRLNMerlin, Inc.QOC 5.1AADXApplied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.QOC 3.5BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: TXT · CDRE · ATRO · AIR · PKE · BYRN · RDW · MRLN · AADX · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to VVX?

7 companies across all industries closest to VVX’s Quality of Company score of 8.3/10.

POSTPost Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.3FLOFlowers Foods, Inc.QOC 8.3ASICAtegrity Specialty Insurance CoQOC 8.3CRCCalifornia Resources CorporationQOC 8.3ACUAcme United CorporationQOC 8.3QRVOQorvo, Inc.QOC 8.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: POST · FLO · ASIC · CRC · ACU · QRVO · NVDA

Where Does VVX Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

VVX is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About V2X, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is V2X, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts V2X, Inc. (VVX)'s intrinsic value at $149.37 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $32.87 to $347.70. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $347.70 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is VVX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $78.45, 8 of 10 active models suggest VVX may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $149.37, 90.4% above the current price of $78.45 — a consensus view that VVX is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits V2X, Inc.'s business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.3 mean for VVX?

V2X, Inc.'s QOC of 8.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on VVX?

CirclFi analyzes VVX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on VVX?

Of the 10 models currently active on VVX, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $347.70 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $32.87. CirclFi's published fair value for VVX is the median of that range, $149.37, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 211% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is VVX a value trap in 2026?

V2X, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 11/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, V2X, Inc. (VVX) has a median fair value of $149.37 — 90.4% above the current price of $78.45 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/VVX/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this VVX valuation
  • Financial statements: V2X, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001601548) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for VVX as of ; valuations recomputed .

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