What Is Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Lockheed Martin Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $354.66, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $514.99. With 10 out of 13 models flagging downside (-31.1% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $741.02 (+43.9%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $7.84 (-98.5%). This +142.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Lockheed Martin Corporation's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About LMT?
13 of 13 models are currently active for LMT. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates LMT's intrinsic value at $282.73, implying -45.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does LMT Rank in Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts?
Among 9 Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts stocks, LMT ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places LMT in the top tier.
Within the Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts space, Lockheed Martin Corporation competes in an environment where EV mix percentage often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is LMT a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LMT a score of 14/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Lockheed Martin Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Lockheed Martin Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 8.3/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +142.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every LMT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across LMT's 13 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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