Byrna Technologies, Inc. (BYRN) Fair Value 2026

BYRN · Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Byrna Technologies, Inc. (BYRN) trades at $3.82, approximately 94% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.97. QOC: 8.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BYRN
Price
$3.82
Quality Score
8.1/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +125.7% upside with 54% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.82)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $1.97 -48.4%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
 $3.18 -16.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $3.13 -18.0%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $8.62 +125.7%

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What Is Byrna Technologies, Inc. (BYRN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Byrna Technologies, Inc. at its current price of $3.82. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $4.72 (+23.6% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $18.87 (+394.1%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.79 (-79.4%). This +473.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Byrna Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About BYRN?

13 of 13 models are currently active for BYRN. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BYRN's intrinsic value at $1.97, implying -48.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BYRN Rank in Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies?

Among 40 Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies stocks, BYRN ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.1 places BYRN in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies Stocks →

As a industrial sector, Byrna Technologies, Inc. operates in a sector where book-to-bill ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating BYRN should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is BYRN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BYRN a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Byrna Technologies, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Byrna Technologies, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.1/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +473.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BYRN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BYRN's 13 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Byrna Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies stocks with 13-model coverage

ENSEnerSysQOC 9.6ATKRAtkore Inc.QOC 8.8CBATCBAK Energy Technology LimitedQOC 8.5FLNCFluence Energy, Inc.QOC 8.2MVSTMicrovast Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.0ULBIUltralife CorporationQOC 7.7ENREnergizer Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.7SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.7

Read investment analysis: ENS · ATKR · CBAT · FLNC · MVST

See all Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Byrna Technologies, Inc.

What is Byrna Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Byrna Technologies, Inc. (BYRN) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $1.97. The Quality of Company score is 8.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BYRN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.82, 5 of 13 active models suggest BYRN may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Byrna Technologies, Inc.'s business model in Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.1 mean for BYRN?

Byrna Technologies, Inc.'s QOC of 8.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BYRN?

CirclFi analyzes BYRN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BYRN a value trap in 2026?

Byrna Technologies, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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