GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) Fair Value 2026

GFS · Semiconductors & Related Devices ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) trades at $61.41, approximately 123% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $27.54. QOC: 6.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GFS
Price
$61.41
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +82.3% upside with 45% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 13 independent fair value estimates is $37.41, 39.1% below the current price of $61.41. Estimates range from $8.72 to $111.96. GFS scores 6.4/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy GlobalFoundries Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($61.41)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$27.54 -55.2%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$28.72 -53.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$41.71 -32.1%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$111.96 +82.3%

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What Is GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, GlobalFoundries Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $42.91. Trading at its current price of $61.41, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -30.1%. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $111.96 (+82.3%), versus Markov DDM at $8.72 (-85.8%). This +168.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Markov DDM lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About GFS?

13 of 13 models are currently active for GFS. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GFS's intrinsic value at $27.54, implying -55.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GFS Rank in Semiconductors & Related Devices?

Among 82 Semiconductors & Related Devices stocks, GFS ranks #50 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Semiconductors & Related Devices Stocks →

The Semiconductors & Related Devices sector introduces analytical considerations specific to semiconductor company businesses. For GlobalFoundries Inc., metrics like R&D-to-revenue ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is GFS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GFS a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for GlobalFoundries Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, GlobalFoundries Inc. earns a quality score of 6.4/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +168.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GFS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GFS's 13 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy GlobalFoundries Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Semiconductors & Related Devices Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Semiconductors & Related Devices stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CRDO · CRUS · MPWR · NVDA · NXPI

See all Semiconductors & Related Devices stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About GlobalFoundries Inc.

What is GlobalFoundries Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $27.54. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GFS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $61.41, 3 of 13 active models suggest GFS may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 13 fair value estimates is $37.41, 39.1% below the current price of $61.41 — a consensus view that GFS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits GlobalFoundries Inc.'s business model in Semiconductors & Related Devices.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for GFS?

GlobalFoundries Inc.'s QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GFS?

CirclFi analyzes GFS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is GFS a value trap in 2026?

GlobalFoundries Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) has a median fair value of $37.41 — 39.1% below the current price of $61.41 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GFS/ · Methodology

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