Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) Fair Value 2026

PROP · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) trades at $0.70. QOC: 5.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PROP
Price
$0.70
Quality Score
5.8/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +460.2% upside with 2% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (8/13) may reduce confidence

Is Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) appears undervalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $1.05, 50.0% above the current price of $0.70. Estimates range from $0.34 to $3.92. PROP scores 5.8/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Prairie Operating Co. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.70)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $3.92 +460.2%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $0.55 -20.9%
Dynamic NAV
Medium Conviction
 $0.53 -24.7%
ML-RIV
Medium Conviction
 $0.93 +33.6%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 4 additional models including PWERM, Regime Cross-Sectional, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 8 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Prairie Operating Co. at $0.70. With an estimated intrinsic value of $1.45 and 5 of 8 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +107.9%. The most optimistic model, CUCE, places fair value at $3.92 (+460.2%), while Sentiment SOTP — the most conservative — estimates $0.34 (-51.8%). This +512.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Prairie Operating Co.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About PROP?

8 of 13 models are currently active for PROP. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PROP Rank in Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas?

Among 80 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks, PROP ranks #54 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas Stocks →

As a energy sector, Prairie Operating Co. operates in a sector where reserve replacement ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating PROP should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is PROP a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PROP a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Prairie Operating Co.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Prairie Operating Co.'s fundamental quality profile registers 5.8/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +512.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PROP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PROP's 8 active models, average confidence is 27%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Prairie Operating Co. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks with 13-model coverage

EOGEOG Resources, Inc.QOC 10.0MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas CorporationQOC 10.0HESMHess Midstream LPQOC 9.7PRPermian Resources CorporationQOC 9.5FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.QOC 9.5EPSNEpsilon Energy Ltd.QOC 9.4DVNDevon Energy CorporationQOC 9.4SMSM Energy CompanyQOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: EOG · MGY · HESM · PR · FANG

See all Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Prairie Operating Co.

What is Prairie Operating Co.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 5.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PROP overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.70, 5 of 8 active models suggest PROP may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $1.05, 50.0% above the current price of $0.70 — a consensus view that PROP is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Prairie Operating Co.'s business model in Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.8 mean for PROP?

Prairie Operating Co.'s QOC of 5.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PROP?

CirclFi analyzes PROP with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PROP a value trap in 2026?

Prairie Operating Co.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) has a median fair value of $1.05 — 50.0% above the current price of $0.70 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PROP/ · Methodology

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 8 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on PROP.

Unlock All 8 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access