Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) Fair Value 2026

PROP · Oil & Gas E&P ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) trades at $0.56, versus a $2.82 median fair value across its 2 active models — 404.4% above the current price. QOC: 7.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PROP
Price
$0.56
Quality Score
7.8/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Sentiment SOTP suggests +430.1% upside with 44% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $2.82, 404.4% above the current price of $0.56. Estimates range from $2.67 to $2.96. PROP scores 7.8/10 on fundamental quality and 26/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. PROP’s +404.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas E&P sector median is -0.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Prairie Operating Co. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give PROP?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.56)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $2.67 +378.7%
Hybrid · Medium Conviction
 $2.96 +430.1%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Prairie Operating Co.. Trading at $0.56 against an estimated intrinsic value of $2.82, 2 of 2 active models flag meaningful upside of +404.4% at the median. The most optimistic model, Sentiment SOTP, places fair value at $2.96 (+430.1%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $2.67 (+378.7%). This +51.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Prairie Operating Co.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About PROP?

2 of 13 models are currently active for PROP. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for PROP is $2.82 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PROP Rank in Oil & Gas E&P?

Among 90 Oil & Gas E&P stocks, PROP ranks #35 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Oil & Gas E&P Stocks →

As a energy sector, Prairie Operating Co. operates in a sector where reserve replacement ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating PROP should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is PROP a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PROP a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Prairie Operating Co.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Prairie Operating Co.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.8/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +51.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PROP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PROP's 2 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Prairie Operating Co. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas E&P Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas E&P stocks with 13-model coverage

NOGNorthern Oil and Gas, Inc.QOC 7.8MNRMach Natural Resources LPQOC 7.7CNQCanadian Natural Resources LimitedQOC 8.0RSRVThe Reserve Petroleum CompanyQOC 7.7OVVOvintiv Inc.QOC 8.0CRGYCrescent Energy CompanyQOC 7.7WTIW&T Offshore, Inc.QOC 6.4PRTPermRock Royalty TrustQOC 4.9EQTEQT CorporationQOC 8.7TPLTexas Pacific Land CorporationQOC 9.1BSMBlack Stone Minerals, L.P.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: NOG · MNR · CNQ · RSRV · OVV · CRGY · WTI · PRT · EQT · TPL · BSM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to PROP?

7 companies across all industries closest to PROP’s Quality of Company score of 7.8/10.

SAMThe Boston Beer Company, Inc.QOC 7.8ANGIAngi Inc.QOC 7.8USBU.S. BancorpQOC 7.8FTAIFTAI Aviation Ltd.QOC 7.8KLICKulicke and Soffa Industries, Inc.QOC 7.8FORMFormFactor, Inc.QOC 7.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SAM · ANGI · USB · FTAI · KLIC · FORM · NVDA

Where Does PROP Sit in CirclFi's Oil & Gas E&P Rankings?

PROP is ranked against every other Oil & Gas E&P stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Oil & Gas E&P stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Prairie Operating Co.’s Valuation?

What is Prairie Operating Co.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Prairie Operating Co. (PROP)'s intrinsic value at $2.82 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $2.67 to $2.96. The Quality of Company score is 7.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PROP overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.56, 2 of 2 active models suggest PROP may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $2.82, 404.4% above the current price of $0.56 — a consensus view that PROP is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Prairie Operating Co.'s business model in Oil & Gas E&P.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.8 mean for PROP?

Prairie Operating Co.'s QOC of 7.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PROP?

CirclFi analyzes PROP with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PROP a value trap in 2026?

Prairie Operating Co.'s Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) has a median fair value of $2.82 — 404.4% above the current price of $0.56 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PROP/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this PROP valuation
  • Financial statements: Prairie Operating Co. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001162896) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for PROP as of ; valuations recomputed .