What Is Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $39.37, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $26.72. While the average implied return is +47.4%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +440.4% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $123.93 (+363.9%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $6.27 (-76.5%). This +440.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About MGY?
13 of 13 models are currently active for MGY. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MGY's intrinsic value at $72.32, implying +170.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MGY Rank in Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas?
Among 80 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks, MGY ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places MGY in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas Stocks →
Within the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas space, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation competes in an environment where capital efficiency ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is MGY a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MGY a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 10.0/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +440.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MGY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MGY's 13 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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