DocuSign, Inc. (DOCU) Fair Value 2026

DOCU · Services-Prepackaged Software ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, DocuSign, Inc. (DOCU) trades at $49.87, approximately 39% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $81.13. QOC: 9.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
DOCU
Price
$49.87
Quality Score
9.5/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +144.4% upside with 61% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($49.87)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $81.13 +62.7%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
 $16.07 -67.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $51.07 +2.4%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $121.90 +144.4%

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What Is DocuSign, Inc. (DOCU) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on DocuSign, Inc. at its current price of $49.87. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $45.59 (-8.6% average return), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $121.90 (+144.4%), versus ML-RIV at $3.66 (-92.7%). This +237.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About DOCU?

12 of 13 models are currently active for DOCU. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates DOCU's intrinsic value at $81.13, implying +62.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DOCU Rank in Services-Prepackaged Software?

Among 208 Services-Prepackaged Software stocks, DOCU ranks #19 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.5 places DOCU in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Services-Prepackaged Software Stocks →

Within the Services-Prepackaged Software space, DocuSign, Inc. competes in an environment where gross margin profile often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is DOCU a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DOCU a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for DocuSign, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, DocuSign, Inc. is rated at 9.5/10. This elite-tier score ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +237.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DOCU valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DOCU's 12 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy DocuSign, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Prepackaged Software Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Prepackaged Software stocks with 13-model coverage

CRMSalesforce, Inc.QOC 10.0CVLTCommvault Systems, Inc.QOC 10.0EGANeGain CorporationQOC 10.0MANHManhattan Associates, Inc.QOC 10.0MSFTMicrosoft CorporationQOC 10.0NTESNetEase, Inc.QOC 10.0PCTYPaylocity Holding CorporationQOC 10.0VEEVVeeva Systems Inc.QOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CRM · CVLT · EGAN · MANH · MSFT

See all Services-Prepackaged Software stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About DocuSign, Inc.

What is DocuSign, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, DocuSign, Inc. (DOCU) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $81.13. The Quality of Company score is 9.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DOCU overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $49.87, 5 of 12 active models suggest DOCU may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits DocuSign, Inc.'s business model in Services-Prepackaged Software.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.5 mean for DOCU?

DocuSign, Inc.'s QOC of 9.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DOCU?

CirclFi analyzes DOCU with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is DOCU a value trap in 2026?

DocuSign, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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