CNX Resources Corporation (CNX) Fair Value 2026

CNX · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (19/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, CNX Resources Corporation (CNX) trades at $33.26, approximately 68% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $103.98. QOC: 5.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 19/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CNX
Price
$33.26
Quality Score
5.7/10
Value Trap Risk
19/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +212.6% upside with 61% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Is CNX Resources Corporation (CNX) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, CNX Resources Corporation (CNX) appears undervalued as of : the median of 13 independent fair value estimates is $37.57, 13.0% above the current price of $33.26. Estimates range from $10.50 to $146.76. CNX scores 5.7/10 on fundamental quality and 19/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy CNX Resources Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($33.26)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $103.98 +212.6%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
 $23.50 -29.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $61.01 +83.4%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $62.34 +87.4%

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What Is CNX Resources Corporation (CNX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CNX Resources Corporation presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $33.26. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $51.92 (+56.1% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 7 bullish models and 4 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $146.76 (+341.3%), versus Dynamic NAV at $10.50 (-68.4%). This +409.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About CNX?

13 of 13 models are currently active for CNX. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CNX's intrinsic value at $103.98, implying +212.6% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CNX Rank in Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas?

Among 80 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks, CNX ranks #55 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.7 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas Stocks →

As a energy producer, CNX Resources Corporation operates in a sector where capital efficiency ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating CNX should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is CNX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CNX a score of 19/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for CNX Resources Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, CNX Resources Corporation is rated at 5.7/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +409.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CNX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CNX's 13 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy CNX Resources Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks with 13-model coverage

EOGEOG Resources, Inc.QOC 10.0MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas CorporationQOC 10.0HESMHess Midstream LPQOC 9.7PRPermian Resources CorporationQOC 9.5FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.QOC 9.5EPSNEpsilon Energy Ltd.QOC 9.4DVNDevon Energy CorporationQOC 9.4SMSM Energy CompanyQOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: EOG · MGY · HESM · PR · FANG

See all Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About CNX Resources Corporation

What is CNX Resources Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, CNX Resources Corporation (CNX) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $103.98. The Quality of Company score is 5.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CNX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $33.26, 9 of 13 active models suggest CNX may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 13 fair value estimates is $37.57, 13.0% above the current price of $33.26 — a consensus view that CNX is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits CNX Resources Corporation's business model in Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.7 mean for CNX?

CNX Resources Corporation's QOC of 5.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CNX?

CirclFi analyzes CNX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CNX a value trap in 2026?

CNX Resources Corporation's Value Trap score is 19/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, CNX Resources Corporation (CNX) has a median fair value of $37.57 — 13.0% above the current price of $33.26 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CNX/ · Methodology

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