American Healthcare REIT, Inc. (AHR) Fair Value 2026

AHR · REIT - Healthcare Facilities ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, American Healthcare REIT, Inc. (AHR) trades at $55.53, versus a $16.46 median fair value across its 8 active models — 70.4% below the current price. QOC: 8.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AHR
Price
$55.53
Quality Score
8.2/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.2/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is American Healthcare REIT, Inc. (AHR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, American Healthcare REIT, Inc. (AHR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $16.46, 70.4% below the current price of $55.53. Estimates range from $6.69 to $35.35. AHR scores 8.2/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. AHR’s -70.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the REIT - Healthcare Facilities sector median is -45.3%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy American Healthcare REIT, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AHR?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($55.53)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $17.98 -67.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $14.95 -73.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $11.01 -80.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.42 -86.6%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 4 additional models including Dynamic NAV, Regime Cross-Sectional, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 8 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is AHR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $6.69 to $35.35

CirclFi's 8 active models place American Healthcare REIT, Inc. (AHR) between $6.69 and $35.35 per share, a spread of 174% of the median. The median of that range — $16.46 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for AHR, against a current price of $55.53.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Sentiment SOTP
$6.69median $16.46$35.35
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$6.69
Most bullish modelSentiment SOTP$35.35
Model agreement0 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for AHR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on AHR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is American Healthcare REIT, Inc. (AHR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, American Healthcare REIT, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $16.46, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $55.53. With 8 out of 8 models flagging downside (-70.4% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Sentiment SOTP, places fair value at $35.35 (-36.3%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $6.69 (-87.9%). This +51.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about American Healthcare REIT, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About AHR?

8 of 13 models are currently active for AHR. All 8 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for AHR is $16.46 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AHR Rank in REIT - Healthcare Facilities?

Among 17 REIT - Healthcare Facilities stocks, AHR ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places AHR in the top tier.

Within the REIT - Healthcare Facilities space, American Healthcare REIT, Inc. competes in an environment where clinical trial success rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is AHR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AHR a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for American Healthcare REIT, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, American Healthcare REIT, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.2/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +51.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AHR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AHR's 8 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy American Healthcare REIT, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Healthcare Facilities Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related REIT - Healthcare Facilities stocks with 13-model coverage

OHIOmega Healthcare Investors, Inc.QOC 8.5WELLWelltower Inc.QOC 8.1CTRECareTrust REIT, Inc.QOC 8.6UHTUniversal Health Realty Income TrustQOC 8.1DHCDiversified Healthcare TrustQOC 5.0LTCLTC Properties, Inc.QOC 8.0SBRASabra Health Care REIT, Inc.QOC 7.4STRWStrawberry Fields REIT, Inc.QOC 7.0XRNChiron Real Estate Inc.QOC 5.9

Read investment analysis: OHI · WELL · CTRE · UHT · DHC · LTC · SBRA · STRW · XRN

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AHR?

7 companies across all industries closest to AHR’s Quality of Company score of 8.2/10.

CCLCarnival Corporation Ltd.QOC 8.2ATEXAnterix Inc.QOC 8.2HFWAHeritage Financial CorporationQOC 8.2OXYOccidental Petroleum CorporationQOC 8.2PKBKParke Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.2ELAEnvela CorporationQOC 8.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CCL · ATEX · HFWA · OXY · PKBK · ELA · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About American Healthcare REIT, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is American Healthcare REIT, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts American Healthcare REIT, Inc. (AHR)'s intrinsic value at $16.46 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $6.69 to $35.35. The Quality of Company score is 8.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AHR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $55.53, 0 of 8 active models suggest AHR may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $16.46, 70.4% below the current price of $55.53 — a consensus view that AHR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits American Healthcare REIT, Inc.'s business model in REIT - Healthcare Facilities.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.2 mean for AHR?

American Healthcare REIT, Inc.'s QOC of 8.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AHR?

CirclFi analyzes AHR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on AHR?

Of the 8 models currently active on AHR, Sentiment SOTP is the most bullish at $35.35 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $6.69. CirclFi's published fair value for AHR is the median of that range, $16.46, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 174% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is AHR a value trap in 2026?

American Healthcare REIT, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, American Healthcare REIT, Inc. (AHR) has a median fair value of $16.46 — 70.4% below the current price of $55.53 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AHR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AHR valuation
  • Financial statements: American Healthcare REIT, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001632970) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AHR as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 8 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on AHR.

Unlock All 8 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

4 models hidden for AHR Unlock All 8 — $39/mo