Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) Fair Value 2026

XRN · Real Estate Investment Trusts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (30/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) trades at $36.73, approximately 35% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $56.89. QOC: 6.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 30/100 (LOW). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
XRN
Price
$36.73
Quality Score
6.5/10
Value Trap Risk
30/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +202.0% upside with 3% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) appears undervalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $42.62, 16.0% above the current price of $36.73. Estimates range from $1.71 to $110.91. XRN scores 6.5/10 on fundamental quality and 30/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Chiron Real Estate Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($36.73)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $56.89 +54.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $110.91 +202.0%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
 $46.13 +25.6%
Dynamic NAV
Medium Conviction
 $3.46 -90.6%

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What Is Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Chiron Real Estate Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $44.32, suggesting a +20.7% average upside from the current price of $36.73. While 6 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 4 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: CUCE targets $110.91 (+202.0%), versus Regime Cross at $1.71 (-95.3%). This +297.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About XRN?

10 of 13 models are currently active for XRN. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates XRN's intrinsic value at $56.89, implying +54.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does XRN Rank in Real Estate Investment Trusts?

Among 182 Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks, XRN ranks #109 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks →

The Real Estate Investment Trusts sector introduces analytical considerations specific to real estate investment trust businesses. For Chiron Real Estate Inc., metrics like funds from operations (FFO) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is XRN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns XRN a score of 30/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Chiron Real Estate Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Chiron Real Estate Inc. earns a quality score of 6.5/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +297.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every XRN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across XRN's 10 active models, average confidence is 36%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Chiron Real Estate Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks with 13-model coverage

CUBECubeSmartQOC 9.5EGPEastGroup Properties, Inc.QOC 9.2SELFGlobal Self Storage, Inc.QOC 9.1EPRTEssential Properties Realty TruQOC 8.9HHHHoward Hughes Holdings Inc.QOC 8.8PSAPublic StorageQOC 8.7NSANational Storage Affiliates TruQOC 8.6ESSEssex Property Trust, Inc.QOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: CUBE · EGP · SELF · EPRT · HHH

See all Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Chiron Real Estate Inc.

What is Chiron Real Estate Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $56.89. The Quality of Company score is 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is XRN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $36.73, 6 of 10 active models suggest XRN may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $42.62, 16.0% above the current price of $36.73 — a consensus view that XRN is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Chiron Real Estate Inc.'s business model in Real Estate Investment Trusts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.5 mean for XRN?

Chiron Real Estate Inc.'s QOC of 6.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on XRN?

CirclFi analyzes XRN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is XRN a value trap in 2026?

Chiron Real Estate Inc.'s Value Trap score is 30/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) has a median fair value of $42.62 — 16.0% above the current price of $36.73 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/XRN/ · Methodology

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