Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo (HR) Fair Value 2026

HR · Real Estate Investment Trusts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo (HR) trades at $20.64, approximately 4% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $21.46. QOC: 5.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
HR
Price
$20.64
Quality Score
5.5/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +4.0% upside with 55% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo (HR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo (HR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 13 independent fair value estimates is $7.68, 62.8% below the current price of $20.64. Estimates range from $1.59 to $27.33. HR scores 5.5/10 on fundamental quality and 20/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($20.64)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$21.46 +4.0%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$1.59 -92.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$16.29 -21.0%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$6.40 -69.0%

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What Is Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo (HR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $11.71. Trading at $20.64, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -43.2%), as 9 of 13 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at +32.5% (fair value: $27.33), while EPV is the most conservative at -92.3% ($1.59). The spread between these extremes — +124.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About HR?

13 of 13 models are currently active for HR. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates HR's intrinsic value at $21.46, implying +4.0% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HR Rank in Real Estate Investment Trusts?

Among 182 Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks, HR ranks #161 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.5 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks →

The Real Estate Investment Trusts sector introduces analytical considerations specific to REIT businesses. For Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo, metrics like capitalization rate (cap rate) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is HR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HR a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo scores 5.5 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +124.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HR's 13 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CUBE · EGP · SELF · EPRT · HHH

See all Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo

What is Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo (HR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $21.46. The Quality of Company score is 5.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $20.64, 4 of 13 active models suggest HR may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 13 fair value estimates is $7.68, 62.8% below the current price of $20.64 — a consensus view that HR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo's business model in Real Estate Investment Trusts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.5 mean for HR?

Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo's QOC of 5.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HR?

CirclFi analyzes HR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is HR a value trap in 2026?

Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo's Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo (HR) has a median fair value of $7.68 — 62.8% below the current price of $20.64 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/HR/ · Methodology

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