What Is CareTrust REIT, Inc. (CTRE) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CareTrust REIT, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $35.24. Trading at its current price of $40.49, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -13.0%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $173.89 (+329.5%), versus EPV at $6.62 (-83.6%). This +413.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About CTRE?
13 of 13 models are currently active for CTRE. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CTRE's intrinsic value at $16.74, implying -58.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does CTRE Rank in Real Estate Investment Trusts?
Among 190 Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks, CTRE ranks #21 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places CTRE in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks →
CareTrust REIT, Inc.'s positioning within the Real Estate Investment Trusts segment means that net asset value (NAV) premium/discount plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including demographic-driven demand — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is CTRE a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CTRE a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for CareTrust REIT, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, CareTrust REIT, Inc. earns a quality score of 8.3/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +413.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every CTRE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across CTRE's 13 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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