Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated (CHCT) Fair Value 2026

CHCT · REIT - Healthcare Facilities ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated (CHCT) trades at $14.95, versus a $7.73 median fair value across its 8 active models — 48.3% below the current price. QOC: 7.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CHCT
Price
$14.95
Quality Score
7.2/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: Markov DDM suggests +3.2% upside with 54% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated (CHCT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated (CHCT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $7.73, 48.3% below the current price of $14.95. Estimates range from $1.28 to $19.40. CHCT scores 7.2/10 on fundamental quality and 24/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. CHCT’s -48.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the REIT - Healthcare Facilities sector median is -45.3%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CHCT?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($14.95)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $8.45 -43.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $15.42 +3.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $5.41 -63.8%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $1.28 -91.4%
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What Is CHCT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $1.28 to $19.40

CirclFi's 8 active models place Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated (CHCT) between $1.28 and $19.40 per share, a spread of 235% of the median. The median of that range — $7.73 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CHCT, against a current price of $14.95.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · PWERM
$1.28median $7.73$19.40
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$1.28
Most bullish modelPWERM$19.40
Model agreement1 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CHCT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CHCT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated (CHCT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated's intrinsic value is estimated at $7.73. Trading at its current price of $14.95, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 6 of 8 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -48.3%. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $19.40 (+29.8%), versus Dynamic NAV at $1.28 (-91.4%). This +121.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About CHCT?

8 of 13 models are currently active for CHCT. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CHCT is $7.73 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CHCT Rank in REIT - Healthcare Facilities?

Among 17 REIT - Healthcare Facilities stocks, CHCT ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.

The REIT - Healthcare Facilities sector introduces analytical considerations specific to biopharma enterprise businesses. For Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated, metrics like R&D productivity ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is CHCT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CHCT a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated scores 7.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +121.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CHCT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CHCT's 8 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Healthcare Facilities Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related REIT - Healthcare Facilities stocks with 13-model coverage

DOCHealthpeak Properties, Inc.QOC 7.2NHINational Health Investors, Inc.QOC 7.2SBRASabra Health Care REIT, Inc.QOC 7.4STRWStrawberry Fields REIT, Inc.QOC 7.0LTCLTC Properties, Inc.QOC 8.0VTRVentas, Inc.QOC 6.4HRHealthcare Realty Trust IncorporatedQOC 6.4DHCDiversified Healthcare TrustQOC 5.0WELLWelltower Inc.QOC 8.1CTRECareTrust REIT, Inc.QOC 8.6OHIOmega Healthcare Investors, Inc.QOC 8.5

Read investment analysis: DOC · NHI · SBRA · STRW · LTC · VTR · HR · DHC · WELL · CTRE · OHI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CHCT?

7 companies across all industries closest to CHCT’s Quality of Company score of 7.2/10.

BOOMDMC Global Inc.QOC 7.2UBCPUnited Bancorp, Inc.QOC 7.2AZTAAzenta, Inc.QOC 7.2NEONNeonode Inc.QOC 7.2NEXANexa Resources S.A.QOC 7.2AGNCAGNC Investment Corp.QOC 7.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BOOM · UBCP · AZTA · NEON · NEXA · AGNC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated’s Valuation?

What is Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated (CHCT)'s intrinsic value at $7.73 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.28 to $19.40. The Quality of Company score is 7.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CHCT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $14.95, 2 of 8 active models suggest CHCT may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $7.73, 48.3% below the current price of $14.95 — a consensus view that CHCT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated's business model in REIT - Healthcare Facilities.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.2 mean for CHCT?

Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated's QOC of 7.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CHCT?

CirclFi analyzes CHCT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CHCT?

Of the 8 models currently active on CHCT, PWERM is the most bullish at $19.40 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $1.28. CirclFi's published fair value for CHCT is the median of that range, $7.73, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 235% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CHCT a value trap in 2026?

Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated's Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated (CHCT) has a median fair value of $7.73 — 48.3% below the current price of $14.95 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CHCT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CHCT valuation

Market data for CHCT as of ; valuations recomputed .

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