Planet Labs PBC (PL) Fair Value 2026

PL · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (45/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Planet Labs PBC (PL) trades at $21.16, versus a $1.70 median fair value across its 3 active models — 91.9% below the current price. QOC: 6.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 45/100 (WARN). 3/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $1.70.

Key Facts

Ticker
PL
Price
$21.16
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
45/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: 3 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 45 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Planet Labs PBC (PL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Planet Labs PBC (PL) appears overvalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $1.70, 91.9% below the current price of $21.16. Estimates range from $1.61 to $3.33. PL scores 6.4/10 on fundamental quality and 45/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. PL’s -91.9% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Aerospace & Defense sector median is -23.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Planet Labs PBC Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give PL?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($21.16)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.70 -91.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.61 -92.4%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $3.33 -84.3%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is PL's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $1.61 to $3.33

CirclFi's 3 active models place Planet Labs PBC (PL) between $1.61 and $3.33 per share, a spread of 101% of the median. The median of that range — $1.70 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for PL, against a current price of $21.16.

Low · RCMH-DCFHigh · FTNN
$1.61median $1.70$3.33
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRCMH-DCF$1.61
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$3.33
Model agreement0 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for PL. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on PL, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Planet Labs PBC (PL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Planet Labs PBC's intrinsic value is estimated at $1.70. Trading at its current price of $21.16, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 3 of 3 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -91.9%. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About PL?

3 of 13 models are currently active for PL. All 3 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for PL is $1.70 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $1.70 on its own, implying -91.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PL Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 92 Aerospace & Defense stocks, PL ranks #49 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

Planet Labs PBC's positioning within the Aerospace & Defense segment means that backlog-to-revenue ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including aftermarket and MRO expansion — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is PL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PL a score of 45/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Planet Labs PBC. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Planet Labs PBC earns a quality score of 6.4/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency. Our Value Trap detector shows moderate caution signals worth monitoring.

Models cluster within a tight range (+8.1% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PL's 3 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Planet Labs PBC Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

SPCEVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.5PEWGrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.QOC 6.4POWWOutdoor Holding CompanyQOC 6.5FLYFirefly Aerospace Inc.QOC 6.3RCATRed Cat Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.5SIFSIFCO Industries, Inc.QOC 6.2DFSCDEFSEC Technologies Inc.QOC 4.8OPXSOptex Systems Holdings, IncQOC 9.1LHXL3Harris Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.9BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: SPCE · PEW · POWW · FLY · RCAT · SIF · DFSC · OPXS · LHX · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to PL?

7 companies across all industries closest to PL’s Quality of Company score of 6.4/10.

WOOFPetco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.QOC 6.4HRHealthcare Realty Trust IncorporatedQOC 6.4DEIDouglas Emmett, Inc.QOC 6.4CRBGCorebridge Financial, Inc.QOC 6.4HNGEHinge Health, Inc.QOC 6.4BFLYButterfly Network, Inc.QOC 6.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: WOOF · HR · DEI · CRBG · HNGE · BFLY · NVDA

Where Does PL Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

PL is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Planet Labs PBC’s Valuation?

What is Planet Labs PBC's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Planet Labs PBC (PL)'s intrinsic value at $1.70 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.61 to $3.33. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $1.70 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $21.16, 0 of 3 active models suggest PL may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $1.70, 91.9% below the current price of $21.16 — a consensus view that PL is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Planet Labs PBC's business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for PL?

Planet Labs PBC's QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PL?

CirclFi analyzes PL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on PL?

Of the 3 models currently active on PL, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $3.33 per share, and RCMH-DCF is the most bearish at $1.61. CirclFi's published fair value for PL is the median of that range, $1.70, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 101% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is PL a value trap in 2026?

Planet Labs PBC's Value Trap score is 45/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Planet Labs PBC (PL) has a median fair value of $1.70 — 91.9% below the current price of $21.16 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PL/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this PL valuation
  • Financial statements: Planet Labs PBC 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001836833) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for PL as of ; valuations recomputed .