Permian Resources Corporation (PR) Fair Value 2026

PR · Oil & Gas E&P ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Permian Resources Corporation (PR) trades at $23.18, versus a $18.82 median fair value across its 10 active models — 18.8% below the current price. QOC: 8.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PR
Price
$23.18
Quality Score
8.9/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: ML-RIV suggests +16.7% upside with 55% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is Permian Resources Corporation (PR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Permian Resources Corporation (PR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $18.82, 18.8% below the current price of $23.18. Estimates range from $2.15 to $74.09. PR scores 8.9/10 on fundamental quality and 20/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. PR’s -18.8% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas E&P sector median is -1.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Permian Resources Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give PR?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($23.18)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $23.34 +0.7%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $23.54 +1.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $14.92 -35.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $27.04 +16.7%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 6 additional models including Markov DDM, Dynamic NAV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 10 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is PR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $2.15 to $74.09

CirclFi's 10 active models place Permian Resources Corporation (PR) between $2.15 and $74.09 per share, a spread of 382% of the median. The median of that range — $18.82 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for PR, against a current price of $23.18.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · RCMH-DCF
$2.15median $18.82$74.09
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$2.15
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$74.09
Model agreement2 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for PR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on PR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Permian Resources Corporation (PR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Permian Resources Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $18.82. Trading at $23.18, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -18.8%), as 6 of 10 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, RCMH-DCF, places fair value at $74.09 (+219.6%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $2.15 (-90.7%). This +310.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Permian Resources Corporation's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About PR?

10 of 13 models are currently active for PR. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for PR is $18.82 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PR Rank in Oil & Gas E&P?

Among 90 Oil & Gas E&P stocks, PR ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.9 places PR in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Oil & Gas E&P Stocks →

The Oil & Gas E&P sector introduces analytical considerations specific to energy businesses. For Permian Resources Corporation, metrics like debt-to-EBITDAX provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is PR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PR a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Permian Resources Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Permian Resources Corporation scores 8.9 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +310.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PR's 10 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Permian Resources Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas E&P Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas E&P stocks with 13-model coverage

COPConocoPhillipsQOC 8.9SMSM Energy CompanyQOC 8.9MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas CorporationQOC 8.9DVNDevon Energy CorporationQOC 8.8REPXRiley Exploration Permian, Inc.QOC 9.0EOGEOG Resources, Inc.QOC 8.8ARAntero Resources CorporationQOC 8.1GTEGran Tierra Energy Inc.QOC 6.7CHKRChesapeake Granite Wash TrustQOC 5.3TPLTexas Pacific Land CorporationQOC 9.1BSMBlack Stone Minerals, L.P.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: COP · SM · MGY · DVN · REPX · EOG · AR · GTE · CHKR · TPL · BSM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to PR?

6 companies across all industries closest to PR’s Quality of Company score of 8.9/10.

DALDelta Air Lines, Inc.QOC 8.9FCXFreeport-McMoRan Inc.QOC 8.9QCOMQUALCOMM IncorporatedQOC 8.9BRBroadridge Financial Solutions, Inc.QOC 8.9WINGWingstop Inc.QOC 8.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: DAL · FCX · QCOM · BR · WING · NVDA

Where Does PR Sit in CirclFi's Oil & Gas E&P Rankings?

PR is ranked against every other Oil & Gas E&P stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Oil & Gas E&P stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Permian Resources Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Permian Resources Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Permian Resources Corporation (PR)'s intrinsic value at $18.82 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $2.15 to $74.09. The Quality of Company score is 8.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $23.18, 4 of 10 active models suggest PR may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $18.82, 18.8% below the current price of $23.18 — a consensus view that PR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Permian Resources Corporation's business model in Oil & Gas E&P.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.9 mean for PR?

Permian Resources Corporation's QOC of 8.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PR?

CirclFi analyzes PR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on PR?

Of the 10 models currently active on PR, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $74.09 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $2.15. CirclFi's published fair value for PR is the median of that range, $18.82, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 382% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is PR a value trap in 2026?

Permian Resources Corporation's Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Permian Resources Corporation (PR) has a median fair value of $18.82 — 18.8% below the current price of $23.18 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this PR valuation
  • Financial statements: Permian Resources Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001658566) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for PR as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 10 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on PR.

Unlock All 10 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

6 models hidden for PR Unlock All 10 — $39/mo