What Is Woodside Energy Group Limited (WDS) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Woodside Energy Group Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at $31.15, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $20.53. With an average implied return of +51.8% across a split 6–5 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +347.6% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +279.8% (fair value: $77.97), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -67.8% ($6.60). The spread between these extremes — +347.6% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About WDS?
13 of 13 models are currently active for WDS. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates WDS's intrinsic value at $77.97, implying +279.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does WDS Rank in Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas?
Among 80 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks, WDS ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.3 places WDS in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas Stocks →
Woodside Energy Group Limited's positioning within the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas segment means that breakeven oil price plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including commodity price environment — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is WDS a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns WDS a score of 5/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Woodside Energy Group Limited. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Woodside Energy Group Limited scores 9.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +347.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every WDS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across WDS's 13 active models, average confidence is 34%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →