What Is APA Corporation (APA) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for APA Corporation. Trading at $34.67 against an estimated intrinsic value of $74.60, 9 of 11 active models flag meaningful upside of +115.2% on average. The most optimistic model, ML-RIV, places fair value at $164.05 (+373.2%), while Sentiment SOTP — the most conservative — estimates $14.59 (-57.9%). This +431.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about APA Corporation's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About APA?
11 of 13 models are currently active for APA. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does APA Rank in Oil & Gas E&P?
Among 4 Oil & Gas E&P stocks, APA ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places APA in the top tier.
APA Corporation's positioning within the Oil & Gas E&P segment means that capital efficiency ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including basin-level economics — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is APA a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns APA a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for APA Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, APA Corporation scores 8.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +431.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every APA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across APA's 11 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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