What Is Criteo S.A. (CRTO) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Criteo S.A. at $23.28. With an estimated intrinsic value of $35.04 and 8 of 13 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +50.5%. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $80.45 (+245.6%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $10.52 (-54.8%). This +300.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Criteo S.A.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About CRTO?
13 of 13 models are currently active for CRTO. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CRTO's intrinsic value at $58.49, implying +151.2% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does CRTO Rank in Services-Advertising Agencies?
Among 10 Services-Advertising Agencies stocks, CRTO ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.8 places CRTO in the top tier.
Criteo S.A. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is CRTO a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CRTO a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Criteo S.A.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Criteo S.A. scores 8.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +300.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every CRTO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across CRTO's 13 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →