Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) Fair Value 2026

OMC · Advertising Agencies ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) trades at $87.89, versus a $128.55 median fair value across its 10 active models — 46.3% above the current price. QOC: 6.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $225.37.

Key Facts

Ticker
OMC
Price
$87.89
Quality Score
6.8/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +156.4% upside with 72% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) appears undervalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $128.55, 46.3% above the current price of $87.89. Estimates range from $19.76 to $360.48. OMC scores 6.8/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. OMC’s +46.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Advertising Agencies sector median is +3.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Omnicom Group Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give OMC?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($87.89)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $225.37 +156.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $35.57 -59.5%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $112.77 +28.3%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $46.96 -46.6%
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What Is OMC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $19.76 to $360.48

CirclFi's 10 active models place Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) between $19.76 and $360.48 per share, a spread of 265% of the median. The median of that range — $128.55 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for OMC, against a current price of $87.89.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$19.76median $128.55$360.48
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$19.76
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$360.48
Model agreement6 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for OMC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on OMC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Omnicom Group Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $128.55. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $87.89 (implied upside of +46.3%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 6 of 10 bullish models. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +310.1% (fair value: $360.48), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -77.5% ($19.76). The spread between these extremes — +387.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About OMC?

10 of 13 models are currently active for OMC. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for OMC is $128.55 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $225.37 on its own, implying +156.4% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does OMC Rank in Advertising Agencies?

Among 48 Advertising Agencies stocks, OMC ranks #15 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.

Omnicom Group Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is OMC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OMC a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Omnicom Group Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Omnicom Group Inc. is rated at 6.8/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +387.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every OMC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across OMC's 10 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Omnicom Group Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Advertising Agencies Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Advertising Agencies stocks with 13-model coverage

WIMIWiMi Hologram Cloud Inc.QOC 6.8SWAGStran & Company, Inc.QOC 6.7STGWStagwell Inc.QOC 7.2CCOClear Channel Outdoor Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.7HFUSHartford Creative Group, Inc.QOC 7.5EVCEntravision Communications CorporationQOC 6.7SPTYSpecificity, Inc.QOC 5.5FCCIEyeonix AIQ, Inc.QOC 4.3TTDThe Trade Desk, Inc.QOC 8.8APPAppLovin CorporationQOC 9.5QNSTQuinStreet, Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: WIMI · SWAG · STGW · CCO · HFUS · EVC · SPTY · FCCI · TTD · APP · QNST

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to OMC?

7 companies across all industries closest to OMC’s Quality of Company score of 6.8/10.

MRMDMariMed Inc.QOC 6.8DDominion Energy, Inc.QOC 6.8PIIPolaris Inc.QOC 6.8ARENThe Arena Group Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.8SNAPSnap Inc.QOC 6.8YSGYatsen Holding LimitedQOC 6.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MRMD · D · PII · AREN · SNAP · YSG · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Omnicom Group Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Omnicom Group Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC)'s intrinsic value at $128.55 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $19.76 to $360.48. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $225.37 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is OMC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $87.89, 6 of 10 active models suggest OMC may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $128.55, 46.3% above the current price of $87.89 — a consensus view that OMC is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Omnicom Group Inc.'s business model in Advertising Agencies.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.8 mean for OMC?

Omnicom Group Inc.'s QOC of 6.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on OMC?

CirclFi analyzes OMC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on OMC?

Of the 10 models currently active on OMC, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $360.48 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $19.76. CirclFi's published fair value for OMC is the median of that range, $128.55, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 265% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is OMC a value trap in 2026?

Omnicom Group Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) has a median fair value of $128.55 — 46.3% above the current price of $87.89 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/OMC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this OMC valuation
  • Financial statements: Omnicom Group Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000029989) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for OMC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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