What Is Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Groupon, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $13.14, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $23.54. With 10 out of 12 models flagging downside (-44.2% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: EPV targets $38.26 (+62.5%), versus ML-RIV at $0.17 (-99.3%). This +161.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About GRPN?
12 of 13 models are currently active for GRPN. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GRPN's intrinsic value at $18.38, implying -21.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does GRPN Rank in Services-Advertising Agencies?
Among 10 Services-Advertising Agencies stocks, GRPN ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.3 reflects mixed fundamentals.
Groupon, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is GRPN a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GRPN a score of 37/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Groupon, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Groupon, Inc. is rated at 5.3/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +161.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every GRPN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across GRPN's 12 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad