What Is Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (ACHC) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $44.01, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $30.56. With an average implied return of +44.0% across a split 5–4 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +523.4% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, EPV sees the most upside at +439.6% (fair value: $164.90), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -83.8% ($4.94). The spread between these extremes — +523.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About ACHC?
10 of 13 models are currently active for ACHC. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ACHC Rank in Medical Care Facilities?
Among 7 Medical Care Facilities stocks, ACHC ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.
Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is ACHC a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ACHC a score of 5/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
10 of 13 models are active for Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. is rated at 7.5/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +523.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ACHC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ACHC's 10 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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