Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) Fair Value 2026

AIV · REIT - Residential ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (30/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) trades at $2.55, versus a $2.99 median fair value across its 5 active models — 17.2% above the current price. QOC: 5.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 30/100 (LOW). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AIV
Price
$2.55
Quality Score
5.8/10
Value Trap Risk
30/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +25.2% upside with 1% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (5/13) may reduce confidence

Is Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) appears undervalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $2.99, 17.2% above the current price of $2.55. Estimates range from $1.54 to $6.83. AIV scores 5.8/10 on fundamental quality and 30/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. AIV’s +17.2% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the REIT - Residential sector median is -41.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Apartment Investment and Management Company Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AIV?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.55)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $3.19 +25.2%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $2.99 +17.2%
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What Is AIV's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $1.54 to $6.83

CirclFi's 5 active models place Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) between $1.54 and $6.83 per share, a spread of 177% of the median. The median of that range — $2.99 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for AIV, against a current price of $2.55.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · PWERM
$1.54median $2.99$6.83
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$1.54
Most bullish modelPWERM$6.83
Model agreement3 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for AIV. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on AIV, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Apartment Investment and Management Company's intrinsic value is estimated at $2.99, suggesting a +17.2% median upside from the current price of $2.55. While 3 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $6.83 (+167.9%), versus Dynamic NAV at $1.54 (-39.6%). This +207.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About AIV?

5 of 13 models are currently active for AIV. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for AIV is $2.99 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AIV Rank in REIT - Residential?

Among 21 REIT - Residential stocks, AIV ranks #17 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Apartment Investment and Management Company's positioning within the REIT - Residential segment means that debt-to-EBITDA plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including portfolio repositioning — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is AIV a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AIV a score of 30/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Apartment Investment and Management Company. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Apartment Investment and Management Company scores 5.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +207.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AIV valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AIV's 5 active models, average confidence is 18%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Apartment Investment and Management Company Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Residential Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related REIT - Residential stocks with 13-model coverage

NXRTNexPoint Residential Trust, Inc.QOC 6.0CLPRClipper Realty Inc.QOC 5.6UMHUMH Properties, Inc.QOC 6.0BHMBluerock Homes Trust, Inc.QOC 5.6BRTBRT Apartments Corp.QOC 6.4ELMEElme CommunitiesQOC 5.5INVHInvitation Homes Inc.QOC 8.5CSRCenterspaceQOC 7.8MRPMillrose Properties, Inc.QOC 7.2UDRUDR, Inc.QOC 8.3

Read investment analysis: NXRT · CLPR · UMH · BHM · BRT · ELME · INVH · CSR · MRP · UDR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AIV?

7 companies across all industries closest to AIV’s Quality of Company score of 5.8/10.

ZHJDIntelligent Hotel Group LtdQOC 5.8ADMTADM Tronics Unlimited, Inc.QOC 5.8BIOABioAge Labs, Inc.QOC 5.8PRLDPrelude Therapeutics IncorporatedQOC 5.8MRVIMaravai LifeSciences Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.8NAMSNewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V.QOC 5.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ZHJD · ADMT · BIOA · PRLD · MRVI · NAMS · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Apartment Investment and Management Company’s Valuation?

What is Apartment Investment and Management Company's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV)'s intrinsic value at $2.99 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.54 to $6.83. The Quality of Company score is 5.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AIV overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.55, 3 of 5 active models suggest AIV may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $2.99, 17.2% above the current price of $2.55 — a consensus view that AIV is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Apartment Investment and Management Company's business model in REIT - Residential.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.8 mean for AIV?

Apartment Investment and Management Company's QOC of 5.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AIV?

CirclFi analyzes AIV with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on AIV?

Of the 5 models currently active on AIV, PWERM is the most bullish at $6.83 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $1.54. CirclFi's published fair value for AIV is the median of that range, $2.99, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 177% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is AIV a value trap in 2026?

Apartment Investment and Management Company's Value Trap score is 30/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV) has a median fair value of $2.99 — 17.2% above the current price of $2.55 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AIV/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AIV valuation

Market data for AIV as of ; valuations recomputed .

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