Elme Communities (ELME) Fair Value 2026

ELME · Real Estate Investment Trusts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Elme Communities (ELME) trades at $1.52, approximately 60% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $3.78. QOC: 5.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ELME
Price
$1.52
Quality Score
5.9/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +437.7% upside with 3% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (7/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.52)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $3.78 +148.6%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $3.72 +144.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $8.17 +437.7%

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What Is Elme Communities (ELME) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Elme Communities. Trading at $1.52 against an estimated intrinsic value of $5.92, 7 of 7 active models flag meaningful upside of +289.8% on average. The most optimistic model, CUCE, places fair value at $8.17 (+437.7%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $3.72 (+144.8%). This +292.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Elme Communities's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About ELME?

7 of 13 models are currently active for ELME. All 7 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates ELME's intrinsic value at $3.78, implying +148.6% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ELME Rank in Real Estate Investment Trusts?

Among 183 Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks, ELME ranks #141 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks →

As a real estate sector, Elme Communities operates in a sector where capitalization rate (cap rate) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating ELME should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is ELME a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ELME a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Elme Communities. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Elme Communities's fundamental quality profile registers 5.9/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +292.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ELME valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ELME's 7 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Elme Communities Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks with 13-model coverage

CUBECubeSmartQOC 9.5EGPEastGroup Properties, Inc.QOC 9.2SELFGlobal Self Storage, Inc.QOC 9.1EPRTEssential Properties Realty TruQOC 8.9HHHHoward Hughes Holdings Inc.QOC 8.8PSAPublic StorageQOC 8.7NSANational Storage Affiliates TruQOC 8.6ESSEssex Property Trust, Inc.QOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: CUBE · EGP · SELF · EPRT · HHH

See all Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Elme Communities

What is Elme Communities's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Elme Communities (ELME) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $3.78. The Quality of Company score is 5.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ELME overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.52, 7 of 7 active models suggest ELME may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Elme Communities's business model in Real Estate Investment Trusts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.9 mean for ELME?

Elme Communities's QOC of 5.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ELME?

CirclFi analyzes ELME with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ELME a value trap in 2026?

Elme Communities's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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