UDR, Inc. (UDR) Fair Value 2026

UDR · REIT - Residential ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, UDR, Inc. (UDR) trades at $37.12, versus a $19.20 median fair value across its 8 active models — 48.3% below the current price. QOC: 8.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
UDR
Price
$37.12
Quality Score
8.3/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.3/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is UDR, Inc. (UDR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, UDR, Inc. (UDR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $19.20, 48.3% below the current price of $37.12. Estimates range from $0.59 to $37.81. UDR scores 8.3/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. UDR’s -48.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the REIT - Residential sector median is -41.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy UDR, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give UDR?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($37.12)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $22.44 -39.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $25.34 -31.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $15.96 -57.0%
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $15.17 -59.1%
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What Is UDR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $0.59 to $37.81

CirclFi's 8 active models place UDR, Inc. (UDR) between $0.59 and $37.81 per share, a spread of 194% of the median. The median of that range — $19.20 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for UDR, against a current price of $37.12.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Sentiment SOTP
$0.59median $19.20$37.81
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$0.59
Most bullish modelSentiment SOTP$37.81
Model agreement0 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for UDR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on UDR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is UDR, Inc. (UDR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, UDR, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $19.20, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $37.12. With 6 out of 8 models flagging downside (-48.3% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, Sentiment SOTP sees the most upside at +1.9% (fair value: $37.81), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -98.4% ($0.59). The spread between these extremes — +100.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About UDR?

8 of 13 models are currently active for UDR. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for UDR is $19.20 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does UDR Rank in REIT - Residential?

Among 21 REIT - Residential stocks, UDR ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places UDR in the top tier.

Within the REIT - Residential space, UDR, Inc. competes in an environment where debt-to-EBITDA often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is UDR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns UDR a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for UDR, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, UDR, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.3/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +100.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every UDR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across UDR's 8 active models, average confidence is 34%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy UDR, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Residential Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related REIT - Residential stocks with 13-model coverage

INVHInvitation Homes Inc.QOC 8.5ELSEquity LifeStyle Properties, Inc.QOC 8.3JANJanus Living, Inc.QOC 5.0IRTIndependence Realty Trust, Inc.QOC 8.0ELMEElme CommunitiesQOC 5.5ESSEssex Property Trust, Inc.QOC 7.9MAAMid-America Apartment Communities, Inc.QOC 7.6AMHAmerican Homes 4 RentQOC 7.0AIVApartment Investment and Management CompanyQOC 5.8

Read investment analysis: INVH · ELS · JAN · IRT · ELME · ESS · MAA · AMH · AIV

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to UDR?

7 companies across all industries closest to UDR’s Quality of Company score of 8.3/10.

MFGMizuho Financial Group, Inc.QOC 8.3IQVIQVIA Holdings Inc.QOC 8.3HALHalliburton CompanyQOC 8.3WTRGEssential Utilities, Inc.QOC 8.3TBBKThe Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.3MODModine Manufacturing CompanyQOC 8.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MFG · IQV · HAL · WTRG · TBBK · MOD · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About UDR, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is UDR, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts UDR, Inc. (UDR)'s intrinsic value at $19.20 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.59 to $37.81. The Quality of Company score is 8.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is UDR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $37.12, 1 of 8 active models suggest UDR may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $19.20, 48.3% below the current price of $37.12 — a consensus view that UDR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits UDR, Inc.'s business model in REIT - Residential.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.3 mean for UDR?

UDR, Inc.'s QOC of 8.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on UDR?

CirclFi analyzes UDR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on UDR?

Of the 8 models currently active on UDR, Sentiment SOTP is the most bullish at $37.81 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $0.59. CirclFi's published fair value for UDR is the median of that range, $19.20, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 194% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is UDR a value trap in 2026?

UDR, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, UDR, Inc. (UDR) has a median fair value of $19.20 — 48.3% below the current price of $37.12 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/UDR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this UDR valuation
  • Financial statements: UDR, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000074208) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for UDR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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