Sweetgreen, Inc. (SG) Fair Value 2026

SG · Restaurants ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (28/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Sweetgreen, Inc. (SG) trades at $6.79, versus a $5.41 median fair value across its 3 active models — 20.3% below the current price. QOC: 5.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 28/100 (LOW). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SG
Price
$6.79
Quality Score
5.9/10
Value Trap Risk
28/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +21.7% upside with 18% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Sweetgreen, Inc. (SG) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Sweetgreen, Inc. (SG) appears overvalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $5.41, 20.3% below the current price of $6.79. Estimates range from $1.99 to $8.27. SG scores 5.9/10 on fundamental quality and 28/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. SG’s -20.3% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Restaurants sector median is -18.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Sweetgreen, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SG?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($6.79)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $1.99 -70.7%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $5.41 -20.3%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $8.27 +21.7%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is SG's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $1.99 to $8.27

CirclFi's 3 active models place Sweetgreen, Inc. (SG) between $1.99 and $8.27 per share, a spread of 116% of the median. The median of that range — $5.41 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SG, against a current price of $6.79.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Regime Cross
$1.99median $5.41$8.27
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$1.99
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$8.27
Model agreement1 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SG. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SG, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Sweetgreen, Inc. (SG) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Sweetgreen, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $5.41. Trading at $6.79, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -20.3%), as 2 of 3 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +21.7% (fair value: $8.27), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -70.7% ($1.99). The spread between these extremes — +92.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About SG?

3 of 13 models are currently active for SG. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SG is $5.41 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SG Rank in Restaurants?

Among 55 Restaurants stocks, SG ranks #39 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Restaurants Stocks →

Sweetgreen, Inc.'s positioning within the Restaurants segment means that e-commerce penetration rate plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including brand loyalty and pricing power — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is SG a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SG a score of 28/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Sweetgreen, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Sweetgreen, Inc. earns a quality score of 5.9/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +92.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SG's 3 active models, average confidence is 34%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Sweetgreen, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Restaurants Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Restaurants stocks with 13-model coverage

KRUSKura Sushi USA, Inc.QOC 6.0ARKRArk Restaurants Corp.QOC 5.9BHBiglari Holdings Inc.QOC 6.1STKSThe ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.QOC 5.9JACKJack in the Box Inc.QOC 6.7RRGBRed Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.QOC 5.6KITLKisses From Italy Inc.QOC 4.1MCDMcDonald's CorporationQOC 8.3SBUXStarbucks CorporationQOC 7.4EATBrinker International, Inc.QOC 9.3CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.QOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: KRUS · ARKR · BH · STKS · JACK · RRGB · KITL · MCD · SBUX · EAT · CMG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SG?

7 companies across all industries closest to SG’s Quality of Company score of 5.9/10.

STUBStubHub Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.9AIC3.ai, Inc.QOC 5.9YMTYimutian Inc.QOC 5.9GPGIGPGI, Inc.QOC 5.9CCGCheche Group Inc.QOC 5.9VYXNCR Voyix CorporationQOC 5.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: STUB · AI · YMT · GPGI · CCG · VYX · NVDA

Where Does SG Sit in CirclFi's Restaurants Rankings?

SG is ranked against every other Restaurants stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Restaurants stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Sweetgreen, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Sweetgreen, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Sweetgreen, Inc. (SG)'s intrinsic value at $5.41 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.99 to $8.27. The Quality of Company score is 5.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SG overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $6.79, 1 of 3 active models suggest SG may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $5.41, 20.3% below the current price of $6.79 — a consensus view that SG is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Sweetgreen, Inc.'s business model in Restaurants.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.9 mean for SG?

Sweetgreen, Inc.'s QOC of 5.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SG?

CirclFi analyzes SG with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SG?

Of the 3 models currently active on SG, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $8.27 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $1.99. CirclFi's published fair value for SG is the median of that range, $5.41, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 116% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SG a value trap in 2026?

Sweetgreen, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 28/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Sweetgreen, Inc. (SG) has a median fair value of $5.41 — 20.3% below the current price of $6.79 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SG/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SG valuation
  • Financial statements: Sweetgreen, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001477815) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SG as of ; valuations recomputed .