Genius Sports Limited (GENI) Fair Value 2026

GENI · Internet Content & Information ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

DANGER (80/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Genius Sports Limited (GENI) trades at $8.02. QOC: 2.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 80/100 (DANGER). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GENI
Price
$8.02
Quality Score
2.3/10
Value Trap Risk
80/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +94.1% upside with 25% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 80 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GENI?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($8.02)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $15.57 +94.1%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Genius Sports Limited (GENI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Genius Sports Limited. Trading at $8.02 against an estimated intrinsic value of $15.57, 1 of 1 active models flag meaningful upside of +94.1% at the median.

What Do the Models Say About GENI?

1 of 13 models are currently active for GENI. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GENI Rank in Internet Content & Information?

Among 78 Internet Content & Information stocks, GENI ranks #77 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.3 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Internet Content & Information Stocks →

Within the Internet Content & Information space, Genius Sports Limited competes in an environment where R&D intensity often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is GENI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GENI a score of 80/100 (DANGER). This is a high-risk signal. Deteriorating fundamentals suggest the discount may be justified. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Genius Sports Limited. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Genius Sports Limited is rated at 2.3/10. This weak-tier score exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny. Notably, value trap risk is elevated.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GENI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GENI's 1 active models, average confidence is 25%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Genius Sports Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Internet Content & Information Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Internet Content & Information stocks with 13-model coverage

JOYYJOYY Inc.QOC 2.7CBMJConservative Broadcast Media & Journalism Inc.QOC 2.2PERIPerion Network Ltd.QOC 2.9GOOGAlphabet Inc.QOC 9.6ELREYinfu Gold CorporationQOC 3.1METAMeta Platforms, Inc.QOC 9.3FVRRFiverr International Ltd.QOC 8.0ZIPZipRecruiter, Inc.QOC 6.5GRPNGroupon, Inc.QOC 5.6

Read investment analysis: JOYY · CBMJ · PERI · GOOG · ELRE · META · FVRR · ZIP · GRPN

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GENI?

7 companies across all industries closest to GENI’s Quality of Company score of 2.3/10.

LBGJLi Bang International Corporation Inc.QOC 2.3VRAXVirax Biolabs Group LimitedQOC 2.3MESOMesoblast LimitedQOC 2.3HTCOHigh-Trend International GroupQOC 2.3NIPGNIP Group Inc.QOC 2.3EZGOEZGO Technologies Ltd.QOC 2.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: LBGJ · VRAX · MESO · HTCO · NIPG · EZGO · NVDA

Where Does GENI Sit in CirclFi's Internet Content & Information Rankings?

GENI is ranked against every other Internet Content & Information stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Internet Content & Information stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Genius Sports Limited’s Valuation?

What is Genius Sports Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Genius Sports Limited (GENI). The Quality of Company score is 2.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GENI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $8.02, 1 of 1 active models suggest GENI may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Genius Sports Limited's business model in Internet Content & Information.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.3 mean for GENI?

Genius Sports Limited's QOC of 2.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GENI?

CirclFi analyzes GENI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is GENI a value trap in 2026?

Genius Sports Limited's Value Trap score is 80/100 (DANGER). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Genius Sports Limited (GENI) a Quality of Company score of 2.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GENI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GENI valuation
  • Financial statements: Genius Sports Limited 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001834489) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GENI as of ; valuations recomputed .