What Is Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Vail Resorts, Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $151.60. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $178.85 (+18.0% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 5 bullish models and 4 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $512.87 (+238.3%), versus ML-RIV at $27.36 (-82.0%). This +320.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About MTN?
11 of 13 models are currently active for MTN. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MTN's intrinsic value at $157.24, implying +3.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MTN Rank in Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation?
Among 22 Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation stocks, MTN ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.
Vail Resorts, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is MTN a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MTN a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for Vail Resorts, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Vail Resorts, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.8/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +320.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MTN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MTN's 11 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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