What Is Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Walt Disney Company (The)'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $88.48. Trading at $96.01, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -7.8%), as 8 of 13 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $350.67 (+265.2%), versus Bayesian DCF at $4.30 (-95.5%). This +360.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About DIS?
13 of 13 models are currently active for DIS. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates DIS's intrinsic value at $4.30, implying -95.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does DIS Rank in Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation?
Among 22 Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation stocks, DIS ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.1 places DIS in the top tier.
Walt Disney Company (The) operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is DIS a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for DIS. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Walt Disney Company (The). Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Walt Disney Company (The) scores 8.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +360.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every DIS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across DIS's 13 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad