United Maritime Corporation (USEA) Fair Value 2026

USEA · Marine Shipping ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (46/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-31, United Maritime Corporation (USEA) trades at $2.76, versus a $2.42 median fair value across its 11 active models — 12.5% below the current price. QOC: 5.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 46/100 (WARN). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $3.08.

Key Facts

Ticker
USEA
Price
$2.76
Quality Score
5.6/10
Value Trap Risk
46/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +349.6% upside with 52% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 46 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is United Maritime Corporation (USEA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, United Maritime Corporation (USEA) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $2.42, 12.5% below the current price of $2.76. Estimates range from $0.53 to $12.41. USEA scores 5.6/10 on fundamental quality and 46/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,804 rated companies as of 2026-08-31. USEA’s -12.5% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Marine Shipping sector median is -24.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy United Maritime Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give USEA?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.76)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
$3.08 +11.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
$12.41 +349.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
$3.34 +21.1%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
$4.58 +66.1%
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What Is USEA's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $0.53 to $12.41

CirclFi's 11 active models place United Maritime Corporation (USEA) between $0.53 and $12.41 per share, a spread of 492% of the median. The median of that range — $2.42 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for USEA, against a current price of $2.76.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · EPV
$0.53median $2.42$12.41
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$0.53
Most bullish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$12.41
Model agreement5 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for USEA. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on USEA, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is United Maritime Corporation (USEA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, United Maritime Corporation presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $2.76. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $2.42 (-12.5% median upside), masking a wide model spread between the 5 bullish models and 6 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: EPV targets $12.41 (+349.6%), versus Dynamic NAV at $0.53 (-80.9%). This +430.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About USEA?

11 of 13 models are currently active for USEA. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for USEA is $2.42 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $3.08 on its own, implying +11.6% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does USEA Rank in Marine Shipping?

Among 38 Marine Shipping stocks, USEA ranks #25 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.6 reflects mixed fundamentals.

The Marine Shipping sector introduces analytical considerations specific to transportation company businesses. For United Maritime Corporation, metrics like average transaction price (ATP) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is USEA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns USEA a score of 46/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for United Maritime Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, United Maritime Corporation scores 5.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +430.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every USEA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across USEA's 11 active models, average confidence is 33%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy United Maritime Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Marine Shipping Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Marine Shipping stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CCEC · RUBI · GLBS · CMDB · SFL · EDRY · SB · MATX · HSHP · GSL · CMRE

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to USEA?

7 companies across all industries closest to USEA’s Quality of Company score of 5.6/10.

Read investment analysis: CHPT · TBBB · FURY · NXDT · PUSA · MMCP · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About United Maritime Corporation’s Valuation?

What is United Maritime Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts United Maritime Corporation (USEA)'s intrinsic value at $2.42 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-31, ranging from $0.53 to $12.41. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $3.08 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 5.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is USEA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.76, 5 of 11 active models suggest USEA may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $2.42, 12.5% below the current price of $2.76 — a consensus view that USEA is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits United Maritime Corporation's business model in Marine Shipping.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.6 mean for USEA?

United Maritime Corporation's QOC of 5.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on USEA?

CirclFi analyzes USEA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on USEA?

Of the 11 models currently active on USEA, Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bullish at $12.41 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $0.53. CirclFi's published fair value for USEA is the median of that range, $2.42, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 492% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is USEA a value trap in 2026?

United Maritime Corporation's Value Trap score is 46/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, United Maritime Corporation (USEA) has a median fair value of $2.42 — 12.5% below the current price of $2.76 — as of 2026-08-31.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/USEA/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this USEA valuation
  • Financial statements: United Maritime Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001912847) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for USEA as of ; valuations recomputed .

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