Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) Fair Value 2026

TNK · Oil & Gas Midstream ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) trades at $88.20, versus a $114.82 median fair value across its 12 active models — 30.2% above the current price. QOC: 8.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $114.54.

Key Facts

Ticker
TNK
Price
$88.20
Quality Score
8.4/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +105.6% upside with 50% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Is Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) appears undervalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $114.82, 30.2% above the current price of $88.20. Estimates range from $10.83 to $274.95. TNK scores 8.4/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. TNK’s +30.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Midstream sector median is -9.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Teekay Tankers Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TNK?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($88.20)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $114.54 +29.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $88.13 -0.1%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $115.96 +31.5%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $181.32 +105.6%
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What Is TNK's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $10.83 to $274.95

CirclFi's 12 active models place Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) between $10.83 and $274.95 per share, a spread of 230% of the median. The median of that range — $114.82 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for TNK, against a current price of $88.20.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · ML-RIV
$10.83median $114.82$274.95
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$10.83
Most bullish modelML Residual Income$274.95
Model agreement8 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for TNK. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on TNK, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Teekay Tankers Ltd. at $88.20. With an estimated intrinsic value of $114.82 and 8 of 12 models pointing higher, the median implied return is +30.2%. The most optimistic model, ML-RIV, places fair value at $274.95 (+211.7%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $10.83 (-87.7%). This +299.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Teekay Tankers Ltd.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About TNK?

12 of 13 models are currently active for TNK. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for TNK is $114.82 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $114.54 on its own, implying +29.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TNK Rank in Oil & Gas Midstream?

Among 53 Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, TNK ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places TNK in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Oil & Gas Midstream Stocks →

As a energy sector, Teekay Tankers Ltd. operates in a sector where capital efficiency ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating TNK should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is TNK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TNK a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Teekay Tankers Ltd.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Teekay Tankers Ltd. is rated at 8.4/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +299.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TNK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TNK's 12 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Teekay Tankers Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Midstream Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas Midstream stocks with 13-model coverage

TRMDTORM plcQOC 8.5NVGSNavigator Holdings Ltd.QOC 8.4INSWInternational Seaways, Inc.QOC 8.5WMBThe Williams Companies, Inc.QOC 8.4LNGCheniere Energy, Inc.QOC 8.5LPGDorian LPG Ltd.QOC 8.3EPDEnterprise Products Partners L.P.QOC 8.0KNOPKNOT Offshore Partners LPQOC 7.1RBNERobin Energy Ltd.QOC 4.7HESMHess Midstream LPQOC 9.2FLNGFLEX LNG Ltd.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: TRMD · NVGS · INSW · WMB · LNG · LPG · EPD · KNOP · RBNE · HESM · FLNG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TNK?

7 companies across all industries closest to TNK’s Quality of Company score of 8.4/10.

SCIASCI Engineered Materials, Inc.QOC 8.4TSLATesla, Inc.QOC 8.4GENGen Digital Inc.QOC 8.4HURNHuron Consulting Group Inc.QOC 8.4BOTJBank of the James Financial Group, Inc.QOC 8.4SNSharkNinja, Inc.QOC 8.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SCIA · TSLA · GEN · HURN · BOTJ · SN · NVDA

Where Does TNK Sit in CirclFi's Oil & Gas Midstream Rankings?

TNK is ranked against every other Oil & Gas Midstream stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Oil & Gas Midstream stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Teekay Tankers Ltd.’s Valuation?

What is Teekay Tankers Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK)'s intrinsic value at $114.82 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $10.83 to $274.95. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $114.54 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TNK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $88.20, 8 of 12 active models suggest TNK may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $114.82, 30.2% above the current price of $88.20 — a consensus view that TNK is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Teekay Tankers Ltd.'s business model in Oil & Gas Midstream.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.4 mean for TNK?

Teekay Tankers Ltd.'s QOC of 8.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TNK?

CirclFi analyzes TNK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on TNK?

Of the 12 models currently active on TNK, ML Residual Income is the most bullish at $274.95 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $10.83. CirclFi's published fair value for TNK is the median of that range, $114.82, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 230% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is TNK a value trap in 2026?

Teekay Tankers Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) has a median fair value of $114.82 — 30.2% above the current price of $88.20 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TNK/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TNK valuation
  • Financial statements: Teekay Tankers Ltd. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001419945) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for TNK as of ; valuations recomputed .

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