Cross Timbers Royalty Trust (CRT) Fair Value 2026

CRT · Oil & Gas E&P ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Cross Timbers Royalty Trust (CRT) trades at $10.51, versus a $6.41 median fair value across its 2 active models — 39.0% below the current price. QOC: 5.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CRT
Price
$10.51
Quality Score
5.4/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: 2 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Cross Timbers Royalty Trust (CRT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Cross Timbers Royalty Trust (CRT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $6.41, 39.0% below the current price of $10.51. Estimates range from $5.05 to $7.77. CRT scores 5.4/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CRT’s -39.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas E&P sector median is -1.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Cross Timbers Royalty Trust Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CRT?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.51)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Low Conviction
$7.77 -26.1%
Relative · Low Conviction
$5.05 -51.9%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Cross Timbers Royalty Trust (CRT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Cross Timbers Royalty Trust's intrinsic value is estimated at $6.41, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $10.51. With 2 out of 2 models flagging downside (-39.0% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth.

What Do the Models Say About CRT?

2 of 13 models are currently active for CRT. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for CRT is $6.41 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CRT Rank in Oil & Gas E&P?

Among 90 Oil & Gas E&P stocks, CRT ranks #68 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.4 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Oil & Gas E&P Stocks →

As a energy producer, Cross Timbers Royalty Trust operates in a sector where debt-to-EBITDAX is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating CRT should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is CRT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CRT a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Cross Timbers Royalty Trust. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Cross Timbers Royalty Trust is rated at 5.4/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

Models cluster within a tight range (+25.9% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CRT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CRT's 2 active models, average confidence is 11%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Cross Timbers Royalty Trust Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas E&P Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas E&P stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: EONR · NRT · ZNOG · VOC · TPET · VET · GLND · CRC · INR · TPL · BSM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CRT?

7 companies across all industries closest to CRT’s Quality of Company score of 5.4/10.

Read investment analysis: MANE · VIVC · VRDR · MGNO · NBP · RYET · NVDA

Where Does CRT Sit in CirclFi's Oil & Gas E&P Rankings?

CRT is ranked against every other Oil & Gas E&P stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Oil & Gas E&P stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Cross Timbers Royalty Trust’s Valuation?

What is Cross Timbers Royalty Trust's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Cross Timbers Royalty Trust (CRT)'s intrinsic value at $6.41 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $5.05 to $7.77. The Quality of Company score is 5.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CRT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.51, 0 of 2 active models suggest CRT may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $6.41, 39.0% below the current price of $10.51 — a consensus view that CRT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Cross Timbers Royalty Trust's business model in Oil & Gas E&P.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.4 mean for CRT?

Cross Timbers Royalty Trust's QOC of 5.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CRT?

CirclFi analyzes CRT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CRT a value trap in 2026?

Cross Timbers Royalty Trust's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Cross Timbers Royalty Trust (CRT) has a median fair value of $6.41 — 39.0% below the current price of $10.51 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CRT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CRT valuation
  • Financial statements: Cross Timbers Royalty Trust 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000881787) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CRT as of ; valuations recomputed .