What Is Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Mesa Royalty Trust's intrinsic value is estimated at a median $2.27, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $2.30. While the median implied return is -1.4%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +34.6% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $2.66 (+15.9%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $1.87 (-18.8%). This +34.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Mesa Royalty Trust's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About MTR?
2 of 13 models are currently active for MTR. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for MTR is $2.27 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MTR Rank in Oil & Gas E&P?
Among 90 Oil & Gas E&P stocks, MTR ranks #79 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.
See all Most Undervalued Oil & Gas E&P Stocks →
Within the Oil & Gas E&P space, Mesa Royalty Trust competes in an environment where production decline rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is MTR a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MTR a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
2 of 13 models are active for Mesa Royalty Trust. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Mesa Royalty Trust's fundamental quality profile registers 5.0/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +34.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MTR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MTR's 2 active models, average confidence is 11%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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