Permianville Royalty Trust (PVL) Fair Value 2026

PVL · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-17, Permianville Royalty Trust (PVL) trades at $1.72, approximately 278% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.46. QOC: 2.0/10. 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PVL
Price
$1.72
Quality Score
2.0/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +32.1% upside with 2% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.0/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Permianville Royalty Trust (PVL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Permianville Royalty Trust (PVL) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $1.41, 18.0% below the current price of $1.72. Estimates range from $0.45 to $2.27. PVL scores 2.0/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Permianville Royalty Trust Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.72)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.46 -73.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$1.16 -32.3%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$2.27 +32.1%
PWERM
Low Conviction
$1.67 -2.7%

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What Is Permianville Royalty Trust (PVL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Permianville Royalty Trust presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $1.72. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $1.29 (-25.2% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 2 bullish models and 4 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $2.27 (+32.1%), versus Regime Cross at $0.45 (-73.6%). This +105.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About PVL?

8 of 13 models are currently active for PVL. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PVL's intrinsic value at $0.46, implying -73.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PVL Rank in Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas?

Among 80 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks, PVL ranks #78 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.0 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas Stocks →

Permianville Royalty Trust's positioning within the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas segment means that finding and development costs (F&D) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including energy transition positioning — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is PVL a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for PVL. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Permianville Royalty Trust. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Permianville Royalty Trust scores 2.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a weak rating that exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +105.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PVL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PVL's 8 active models, average confidence is 2%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Permianville Royalty Trust Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: EOG · MGY · HESM · PR · FANG

See all Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Permianville Royalty Trust

What is Permianville Royalty Trust's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Permianville Royalty Trust (PVL) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.46. The Quality of Company score is 2.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PVL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.72, 2 of 8 active models suggest PVL may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $1.41, 18.0% below the current price of $1.72 — a consensus view that PVL is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Permianville Royalty Trust's business model in Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.0 mean for PVL?

Permianville Royalty Trust's QOC of 2.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PVL?

CirclFi analyzes PVL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PVL a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for PVL at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Permianville Royalty Trust (PVL) has a median fair value of $1.41 — 18.0% below the current price of $1.72 — as of 2026-07-17.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PVL/ · Methodology

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