Permianville Royalty Trust (PVL) Fair Value 2026

PVL · Oil & Gas E&P ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-31, Permianville Royalty Trust (PVL) trades at $1.88, versus a $1.80 median fair value across its 2 active models — 4.1% below the current price. QOC: 5.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PVL
Price
$1.88
Quality Score
5.0/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Markov DDM suggests +0.3% upside with 13% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Permianville Royalty Trust (PVL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Permianville Royalty Trust (PVL) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $1.80, within 4.1% of the current price of $1.88. Estimates range from $1.72 to $1.88. PVL scores 5.0/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,804 rated companies as of 2026-08-31. PVL’s -4.1% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas E&P sector median is -3.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Permianville Royalty Trust Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give PVL?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.88)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Low Conviction
$1.88 +0.3%
Relative · Low Conviction
$1.72 -8.5%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Permianville Royalty Trust (PVL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Permianville Royalty Trust presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $1.88. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $1.80 (-4.1% median upside), masking a wide model spread between the 0 bullish models and 1 bearish models.

What Do the Models Say About PVL?

2 of 13 models are currently active for PVL. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for PVL is $1.80 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PVL Rank in Oil & Gas E&P?

Among 90 Oil & Gas E&P stocks, PVL ranks #77 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Oil & Gas E&P Stocks →

Permianville Royalty Trust's positioning within the Oil & Gas E&P segment means that finding and development costs (F&D) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including energy transition positioning — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is PVL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PVL a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Permianville Royalty Trust. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Permianville Royalty Trust scores 5.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

Models cluster within a tight range (+8.8% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PVL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PVL's 2 active models, average confidence is 11%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Permianville Royalty Trust Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas E&P Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas E&P stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CRCE · ALTX · ROYL · MTR · TBN · PRT · EOG · OVV · KOS · TPL · BSM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to PVL?

7 companies across all industries closest to PVL’s Quality of Company score of 5.0/10.

Read investment analysis: RTB · STAI · RNAC · VRM · ADUR · ATYR · NVDA

Where Does PVL Sit in CirclFi's Oil & Gas E&P Rankings?

PVL is ranked against every other Oil & Gas E&P stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Oil & Gas E&P stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Permianville Royalty Trust’s Valuation?

What is Permianville Royalty Trust's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Permianville Royalty Trust (PVL)'s intrinsic value at $1.80 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-31, ranging from $1.72 to $1.88. The Quality of Company score is 5.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PVL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.88, 1 of 2 active models suggest PVL may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $1.80, within 4.1% of the current price of $1.88 — a consensus view that PVL is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Permianville Royalty Trust's business model in Oil & Gas E&P.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.0 mean for PVL?

Permianville Royalty Trust's QOC of 5.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PVL?

CirclFi analyzes PVL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PVL a value trap in 2026?

Permianville Royalty Trust's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Permianville Royalty Trust (PVL) has a median fair value of $1.80 — within 4.1% of the current price of $1.88 — as of 2026-08-31.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PVL/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this PVL valuation
  • Financial statements: Permianville Royalty Trust 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001520048) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for PVL as of ; valuations recomputed .