What Is Mistras Group Inc (MG) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Mistras Group Inc's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $11.72. Trading at $16.19, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -27.6%), as 8 of 11 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +24.3% (fair value: $20.13), while EPV is the most conservative at -84.2% ($2.56). The spread between these extremes — +108.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About MG?
11 of 13 models are currently active for MG. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MG's intrinsic value at $5.19, implying -68.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MG Rank in Services-Engineering Services?
Among 7 Services-Engineering Services stocks, MG ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.0 places MG in the top tier.
The Services-Engineering Services sector introduces analytical considerations specific to manufacturing company businesses. For Mistras Group Inc, metrics like book-to-bill ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is MG a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MG a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for Mistras Group Inc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Mistras Group Inc scores 9.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +108.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MG's 11 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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