What Is The AES Corporation (AES) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, The AES Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $21.74. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $14.76 (implied upside of +47.3%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 8 of 12 bullish models. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +263.4% (fair value: $53.64), while EROIC is the most conservative at -85.1% ($2.21). The spread between these extremes — +348.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About AES?
12 of 13 models are currently active for AES. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AES's intrinsic value at $53.64, implying +263.4% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AES Rank in Utilities - Diversified?
Among 2 Utilities - Diversified stocks, AES ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.7 places AES in the top tier.
Within the Utilities - Diversified space, The AES Corporation competes in an environment where payout ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is AES a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AES a score of 10/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for The AES Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, The AES Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 8.7/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +348.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AES valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AES's 12 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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