Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) Fair Value 2026

AQN · Utilities - Diversified ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

3.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) trades at $5.68, versus a $4.66 median fair value across its 2 active models — 17.9% below the current price. QOC: 3.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AQN
Price
$5.68
Quality Score
3.2/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +40.0% upside with 25% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 3.2/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $4.66, 17.9% below the current price of $5.68. Estimates range from $1.37 to $7.95. AQN scores 3.2/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. AQN’s -17.9% gap is narrower than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AQN?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.68)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
$1.37 -75.8%
Relative · Medium Conviction
$7.95 +40.0%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $5.68. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $4.66 (-17.9% median upside), masking a wide model spread between the 1 bullish models and 1 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $7.95 (+40.0%), versus Markov DDM at $1.37 (-75.8%). This +115.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About AQN?

2 of 13 models are currently active for AQN. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for AQN is $4.66 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AQN Rank in Utilities - Diversified?

Among 5 Utilities - Diversified stocks, AQN ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 3.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 3.2 signals below-average fundamentals.

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.'s positioning within the Utilities - Diversified segment means that rate base growth plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including clean energy transition investment — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is AQN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AQN a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. scores 3.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a weak rating that exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +115.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AQN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AQN's 2 active models, average confidence is 29%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Utilities - Diversified Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

4 related Utilities - Diversified stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AES · AVA · UTL · SRE

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AQN?

7 companies across all industries closest to AQN’s Quality of Company score of 3.2/10.

Read investment analysis: ESEA · SITS · TAL · BTTC · XE · WNFT · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.’s Valuation?

What is Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN)'s intrinsic value at $4.66 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.37 to $7.95. The Quality of Company score is 3.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AQN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.68, 1 of 2 active models suggest AQN may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $4.66, 17.9% below the current price of $5.68 — a consensus view that AQN is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.'s business model in Utilities - Diversified.

What does a Quality of Company score of 3.2 mean for AQN?

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.'s QOC of 3.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AQN?

CirclFi analyzes AQN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AQN a value trap in 2026?

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) has a median fair value of $4.66 — 17.9% below the current price of $5.68 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AQN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AQN valuation
  • Financial statements: Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001174169) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AQN as of ; valuations recomputed .