What Is ADT Inc. (ADT) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, ADT Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $14.57. At a current market price of $6.79, 9 of 11 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting an average implied return of +114.6%. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +327.2% (fair value: $29.01), while Sentiment SOTP is the most conservative at -62.1% ($2.57). The spread between these extremes — +389.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About ADT?
11 of 13 models are currently active for ADT. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ADT's intrinsic value at $27.70, implying +307.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ADT Rank in Security & Protection Services?
Among 2 Security & Protection Services stocks, ADT ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.
ADT Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is ADT a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ADT a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for ADT Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, ADT Inc. is rated at 7.4/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +389.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ADT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ADT's 11 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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