Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) Fair Value 2026

BGSI · Auto & Truck Dealerships ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) trades at $86.01, versus a $58.31 median fair value across its 12 active models — 32.2% below the current price. QOC: 7.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BGSI
Price
$86.01
Quality Score
7.6/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: 12 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $58.31, 32.2% below the current price of $86.01. Estimates range from $4.31 to $229.51. BGSI scores 7.6/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. BGSI’s -32.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Auto & Truck Dealerships sector median is -3.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Boyd Group Services Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BGSI?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($86.01)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $47.99 -44.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $71.50 -16.9%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $64.30 -25.2%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $4.31 -95.0%
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What Is BGSI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $4.31 to $229.51

CirclFi's 12 active models place Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) between $4.31 and $229.51 per share, a spread of 386% of the median. The median of that range — $58.31 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for BGSI, against a current price of $86.01.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · RCMH-DCF
$4.31median $58.31$229.51
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$4.31
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$229.51
Model agreement3 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for BGSI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on BGSI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Boyd Group Services Inc. at its current price of $86.01. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $58.31 (-32.2% vs price), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $229.51 (+166.8%), versus Markov DDM at $4.31 (-95.0%). This +261.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About BGSI?

12 of 13 models are currently active for BGSI. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for BGSI is $58.31 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BGSI Rank in Auto & Truck Dealerships?

Among 24 Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, BGSI ranks #11 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.

As a transportation company, Boyd Group Services Inc. operates in a sector where warranty cost ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating BGSI should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is BGSI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BGSI a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Boyd Group Services Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Boyd Group Services Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.6/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +261.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BGSI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BGSI's 12 active models, average confidence is 36%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Boyd Group Services Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Auto & Truck Dealerships Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks with 13-model coverage

VVVValvoline Inc.QOC 7.8DRVNDriven Brands Holdings Inc.QOC 6.9GPIGroup 1 Automotive, Inc.QOC 7.8KMXCarMax, Inc.QOC 6.9LADLithia Motors, Inc.QOC 7.8CRMTAmerica's Car-Mart, Inc.QOC 6.5UCARU Power LimitedQOC 6.1AZIAutozi Internet Technology (Global) Ltd.QOC 2.3ANAutoNation, Inc.QOC 8.1CARGCarGurus, Inc.QOC 9.5OPLNOPENLANE, Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: VVV · DRVN · GPI · KMX · LAD · CRMT · UCAR · AZI · AN · CARG · OPLN

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BGSI?

7 companies across all industries closest to BGSI’s Quality of Company score of 7.6/10.

ENBEnbridge Inc.QOC 7.6EXPEagle Materials Inc.QOC 7.6REYNReynolds Consumer Products Inc.QOC 7.6DSWLDeswell Industries, Inc.QOC 7.6ODDOddity Tech Ltd.QOC 7.6MAXMediaAlpha, Inc.QOC 7.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ENB · EXP · REYN · DSWL · ODD · MAX · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Boyd Group Services Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Boyd Group Services Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI)'s intrinsic value at $58.31 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $4.31 to $229.51. The Quality of Company score is 7.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BGSI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $86.01, 3 of 12 active models suggest BGSI may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $58.31, 32.2% below the current price of $86.01 — a consensus view that BGSI is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Boyd Group Services Inc.'s business model in Auto & Truck Dealerships.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.6 mean for BGSI?

Boyd Group Services Inc.'s QOC of 7.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BGSI?

CirclFi analyzes BGSI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on BGSI?

Of the 12 models currently active on BGSI, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $229.51 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $4.31. CirclFi's published fair value for BGSI is the median of that range, $58.31, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 386% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is BGSI a value trap in 2026?

Boyd Group Services Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) has a median fair value of $58.31 — 32.2% below the current price of $86.01 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BGSI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BGSI valuation
  • Financial statements: Boyd Group Services Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002091467) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for BGSI as of ; valuations recomputed .

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