Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) Fair Value 2026

BGSI · Services-Automotive Repair, Services & Parking ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) trades at $96.32, approximately 37% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $153.12. QOC: 6.4/10. 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BGSI
Price
$96.32
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +59.0% upside with 48% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($96.32)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$153.12 +59.0%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$26.98 -72.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$69.31 -28.0%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$15.34 -84.1%

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What Is Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Boyd Group Services Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $57.52, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $96.32. With 10 out of 13 models flagging downside (-40.3% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $153.12 (+59.0%), versus Markov DDM at $3.86 (-96.0%). This +155.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About BGSI?

13 of 13 models are currently active for BGSI. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BGSI's intrinsic value at $153.12, implying +59.0% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BGSI Rank in Services-Automotive Repair, Services & Parking?

Among 7 Services-Automotive Repair, Services & Parking stocks, BGSI ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

As a transportation company, Boyd Group Services Inc. operates in a sector where warranty cost ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating BGSI should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is BGSI a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for BGSI. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Boyd Group Services Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Boyd Group Services Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.4/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +155.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BGSI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BGSI's 13 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Boyd Group Services Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Automotive Repair, Services & Parking Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

6 related Services-Automotive Repair, Services & Parking stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: MNRO · DRVN · EVGO · SDA · YSXT

Frequently Asked Questions About Boyd Group Services Inc.

What is Boyd Group Services Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $153.12. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BGSI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $96.32, 3 of 13 active models suggest BGSI may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Boyd Group Services Inc.'s business model in Services-Automotive Repair, Services & Parking.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for BGSI?

Boyd Group Services Inc.'s QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BGSI?

CirclFi analyzes BGSI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BGSI a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for BGSI at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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