What Is Allegion plc (ALLE) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Allegion plc's intrinsic value is estimated at $113.33. Trading at its current price of $136.38, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -16.9%. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +48.1% (fair value: $201.94), while EROIC is the most conservative at -67.1% ($44.90). The spread between these extremes — +115.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About ALLE?
12 of 13 models are currently active for ALLE. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ALLE's intrinsic value at $107.33, implying -21.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ALLE Rank in Security & Protection Services?
Among 2 Security & Protection Services stocks, ALLE ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.6 places ALLE in the top tier.
Allegion plc operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is ALLE a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ALLE a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Allegion plc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Allegion plc earns a quality score of 9.6/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +115.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ALLE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ALLE's 12 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad