What Is CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CoreCivic, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $14.88. Trading at its current price of $31.36, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 11 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -52.5%. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $33.56 (+7.0%), versus Dynamic NAV at $3.72 (-88.1%). This +95.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About CXW?
13 of 13 models are currently active for CXW. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CXW's intrinsic value at $15.31, implying -51.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does CXW Rank in Real Estate Investment Trusts?
Among 190 Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks, CXW ranks #78 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.1 indicates above-average quality.
See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks →
CoreCivic, Inc.'s positioning within the Real Estate Investment Trusts segment means that weighted average lease term (WALT) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including demographic-driven demand — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is CXW a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CXW a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for CoreCivic, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CoreCivic, Inc. scores 7.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +95.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every CXW valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across CXW's 13 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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