Crane NXT, Co. (CXT) Fair Value 2026

CXT · Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (37/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Crane NXT, Co. (CXT) trades at $50.44, approximately 65% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $30.50. QOC: 7.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 37/100 (LOW). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CXT
Price
$50.44
Quality Score
7.8/10
Value Trap Risk
37/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: 12 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($50.44)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$30.50 -39.5%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$36.98 -26.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$31.78 -37.0%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$13.93 -72.4%

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What Is Crane NXT, Co. (CXT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Crane NXT, Co.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $33.20, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $50.44. With 9 out of 12 models flagging downside (-34.2% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $70.62 (+40.0%), versus Markov DDM at $6.72 (-86.7%). This +126.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CXT?

12 of 13 models are currently active for CXT. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CXT's intrinsic value at $30.50, implying -39.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CXT Rank in Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products?

Among 8 Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products stocks, CXT ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products space, Crane NXT, Co. competes in an environment where aftermarket revenue mix often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is CXT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CXT a score of 37/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Crane NXT, Co.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Crane NXT, Co.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.8/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +126.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CXT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CXT's 12 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Crane NXT, Co. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

7 related Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: WTS · PH · CR · HLIO · MWA

Frequently Asked Questions About Crane NXT, Co.

What is Crane NXT, Co.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Crane NXT, Co. (CXT) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $30.50. The Quality of Company score is 7.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CXT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $50.44, 3 of 12 active models suggest CXT may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Crane NXT, Co.'s business model in Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.8 mean for CXT?

Crane NXT, Co.'s QOC of 7.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CXT?

CirclFi analyzes CXT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CXT a value trap in 2026?

Crane NXT, Co.'s Value Trap score is 37/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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