Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) Fair Value 2026

FPI · Real Estate Investment Trusts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) trades at $9.61, approximately 238% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.84. QOC: 8.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FPI
Price
$9.61
Quality Score
8.5/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +15.2% upside with 3% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($9.61)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$2.84 -70.4%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$0.80 -91.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$11.07 +15.2%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$4.57 -52.5%

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What Is Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Farmland Partners Inc. at its current price of $9.61. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $6.24 (-35.1% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, ML-RIV sees the most upside at +43.4% (fair value: $13.78), while EPV is the most conservative at -91.7% ($0.80). The spread between these extremes — +135.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About FPI?

12 of 13 models are currently active for FPI. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates FPI's intrinsic value at $2.84, implying -70.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FPI Rank in Real Estate Investment Trusts?

Among 183 Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks, FPI ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.5 places FPI in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks →

Within the Real Estate Investment Trusts space, Farmland Partners Inc. competes in an environment where occupancy rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is FPI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FPI a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Farmland Partners Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Farmland Partners Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.5/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +135.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FPI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FPI's 12 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Farmland Partners Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks with 13-model coverage

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See all Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Farmland Partners Inc.

What is Farmland Partners Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $2.84. The Quality of Company score is 8.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FPI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $9.61, 4 of 12 active models suggest FPI may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Farmland Partners Inc.'s business model in Real Estate Investment Trusts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.5 mean for FPI?

Farmland Partners Inc.'s QOC of 8.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FPI?

CirclFi analyzes FPI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is FPI a value trap in 2026?

Farmland Partners Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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