Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) Fair Value 2026

WY · Real Estate Investment Trusts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (32/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) trades at $23.39, approximately 53% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $50.04. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 32/100 (LOW). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
WY
Price
$23.39
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
32/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +113.9% upside with 63% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($23.39)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$50.04 +113.9%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$33.37 +42.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$24.24 +3.6%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$20.22 -13.6%

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What Is Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Weyerhaeuser Company's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $26.84. Trading at $23.39, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of +14.8%), as 8 of 13 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $106.66 (+356.0%), versus Dynamic NAV at $3.29 (-85.9%). This +441.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About WY?

13 of 13 models are currently active for WY. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates WY's intrinsic value at $50.04, implying +113.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does WY Rank in Real Estate Investment Trusts?

Among 183 Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks, WY ranks #54 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks →

The Real Estate Investment Trusts sector introduces analytical considerations specific to real estate investment trust businesses. For Weyerhaeuser Company, metrics like weighted average lease term (WALT) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is WY a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns WY a score of 32/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Weyerhaeuser Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Weyerhaeuser Company scores 7.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +441.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every WY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across WY's 13 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Weyerhaeuser Company Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CUBE · EGP · SELF · EPRT · HHH

See all Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Weyerhaeuser Company

What is Weyerhaeuser Company's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $50.04. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is WY overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $23.39, 5 of 13 active models suggest WY may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Weyerhaeuser Company's business model in Real Estate Investment Trusts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for WY?

Weyerhaeuser Company's QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on WY?

CirclFi analyzes WY with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is WY a value trap in 2026?

Weyerhaeuser Company's Value Trap score is 32/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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