OUTFRONT Media Inc. (OUT) Fair Value 2026

OUT · REIT - Specialty ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, OUTFRONT Media Inc. (OUT) trades at $29.60, versus a $15.55 median fair value across its 7 active models — 47.5% below the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
OUT
Price
$29.60
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: 7 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is OUTFRONT Media Inc. (OUT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, OUTFRONT Media Inc. (OUT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $15.55, 47.5% below the current price of $29.60. Estimates range from $7.15 to $34.13. OUT scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. OUT’s -47.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the REIT - Specialty sector median is -28.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy OUTFRONT Media Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give OUT?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($29.60)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $15.55 -47.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.15 -75.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $8.97 -69.7%
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What Is OUT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $7.15 to $34.13

CirclFi's 7 active models place OUTFRONT Media Inc. (OUT) between $7.15 and $34.13 per share, a spread of 174% of the median. The median of that range — $15.55 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for OUT, against a current price of $29.60.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Regime Cross
$7.15median $15.55$34.13
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$7.15
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$34.13
Model agreement1 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for OUT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on OUT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is OUTFRONT Media Inc. (OUT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, OUTFRONT Media Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $15.55. Trading at its current price of $29.60, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 6 of 7 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -47.5%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $34.13 (+15.3%), versus Markov DDM at $7.15 (-75.9%). This +91.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About OUT?

7 of 13 models are currently active for OUT. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for OUT is $15.55 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does OUT Rank in REIT - Specialty?

Among 20 REIT - Specialty stocks, OUT ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

OUTFRONT Media Inc.'s positioning within the REIT - Specialty segment means that same-property NOI growth plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including rental rate escalation — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is OUT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OUT a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for OUTFRONT Media Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, OUTFRONT Media Inc. scores 7.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +91.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every OUT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across OUT's 7 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy OUTFRONT Media Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Specialty Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related REIT - Specialty stocks with 13-model coverage

FPIFarmland Partners Inc.QOC 7.4WYWeyerhaeuser CompanyQOC 6.9LANDGladstone Land CorporationQOC 7.4CCICrown Castle Inc.QOC 6.9DLRDigital Realty Trust, Inc.QOC 7.6IRMIron Mountain IncorporatedQOC 6.7PWPower REITQOC 6.1LAMRLamar Advertising CompanyQOC 8.5GLPIGaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.QOC 7.9NLCPNewLake Capital Partners, Inc.QOC 8.7SELFGlobal Self Storage, Inc.QOC 8.7

Read investment analysis: FPI · WY · LAND · CCI · DLR · IRM · PW · LAMR · GLPI · NLCP · SELF

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to OUT?

7 companies across all industries closest to OUT’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

NPKNational Presto Industries, Inc.QOC 7.4EPCEdgewell Personal Care CompanyQOC 7.4EVRGEvergy, Inc.QOC 7.4NNNNNN REIT, Inc.QOC 7.4SWIMLatham Group, Inc.QOC 7.4CSTLCastle Biosciences, Inc.QOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NPK · EPC · EVRG · NNN · SWIM · CSTL · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About OUTFRONT Media Inc.’s Valuation?

What is OUTFRONT Media Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts OUTFRONT Media Inc. (OUT)'s intrinsic value at $15.55 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $7.15 to $34.13. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is OUT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $29.60, 1 of 7 active models suggest OUT may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $15.55, 47.5% below the current price of $29.60 — a consensus view that OUT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits OUTFRONT Media Inc.'s business model in REIT - Specialty.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for OUT?

OUTFRONT Media Inc.'s QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on OUT?

CirclFi analyzes OUT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on OUT?

Of the 7 models currently active on OUT, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $34.13 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $7.15. CirclFi's published fair value for OUT is the median of that range, $15.55, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 174% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is OUT a value trap in 2026?

OUTFRONT Media Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, OUTFRONT Media Inc. (OUT) has a median fair value of $15.55 — 47.5% below the current price of $29.60 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/OUT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this OUT valuation
  • Financial statements: OUTFRONT Media Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001579877) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for OUT as of ; valuations recomputed .

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