Rayonier Inc. REIT (RYN) Fair Value 2026

RYN · Real Estate Investment Trusts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Rayonier Inc. REIT (RYN) trades at $21.46, approximately 319% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $5.13. QOC: 8.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
RYN
Price
$21.46
Quality Score
8.0/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: 13 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($21.46)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$5.13 -76.1%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$2.98 -86.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$16.02 -25.4%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$14.85 -30.8%

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What Is Rayonier Inc. REIT (RYN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Rayonier Inc. REIT at its current price of $21.46. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $24.00 (+11.8% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $121.04 (+464.0%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $2.98 (-86.1%). This +550.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Rayonier Inc. REIT's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About RYN?

13 of 13 models are currently active for RYN. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates RYN's intrinsic value at $5.13, implying -76.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RYN Rank in Real Estate Investment Trusts?

Among 183 Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks, RYN ranks #34 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks →

Within the Real Estate Investment Trusts space, Rayonier Inc. REIT competes in an environment where occupancy rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is RYN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RYN a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Rayonier Inc. REIT. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Rayonier Inc. REIT's fundamental quality profile registers 8.0/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +550.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RYN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RYN's 13 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Rayonier Inc. REIT Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CUBE · EGP · SELF · EPRT · HHH

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Frequently Asked Questions About Rayonier Inc. REIT

What is Rayonier Inc. REIT's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Rayonier Inc. REIT (RYN) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $5.13. The Quality of Company score is 8.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RYN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $21.46, 5 of 13 active models suggest RYN may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Rayonier Inc. REIT's business model in Real Estate Investment Trusts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.0 mean for RYN?

Rayonier Inc. REIT's QOC of 8.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RYN?

CirclFi analyzes RYN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is RYN a value trap in 2026?

Rayonier Inc. REIT's Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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