Rayonier Inc. (RYN) Fair Value 2026

RYN · REIT - Specialty ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Rayonier Inc. (RYN) trades at $20.63, versus a $10.90 median fair value across its 8 active models — 47.2% below the current price. QOC: 7.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
RYN
Price
$20.63
Quality Score
7.8/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: 8 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Rayonier Inc. (RYN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Rayonier Inc. (RYN) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $10.90, 47.2% below the current price of $20.63. Estimates range from $0.82 to $20.77. RYN scores 7.8/10 on fundamental quality and 24/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. RYN’s -47.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the REIT - Specialty sector median is -28.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Rayonier Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give RYN?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($20.63)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $11.44 -44.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $10.36 -49.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.27 -64.8%
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $8.25 -60.0%
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What Is RYN's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $0.82 to $20.77

CirclFi's 8 active models place Rayonier Inc. (RYN) between $0.82 and $20.77 per share, a spread of 183% of the median. The median of that range — $10.90 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for RYN, against a current price of $20.63.

Low · Sentiment SOTPHigh · PWERM
$0.82median $10.90$20.77
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelSentiment SOTP$0.82
Most bullish modelPWERM$20.77
Model agreement0 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for RYN. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on RYN, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Rayonier Inc. (RYN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Rayonier Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $10.90, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $20.63. With 6 out of 8 models flagging downside (-47.2% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $20.77 (+0.7%), while Sentiment SOTP — the most conservative — estimates $0.82 (-96.0%). This +96.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Rayonier Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About RYN?

8 of 13 models are currently active for RYN. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for RYN is $10.90 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RYN Rank in REIT - Specialty?

Among 20 REIT - Specialty stocks, RYN ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.

Within the REIT - Specialty space, Rayonier Inc. competes in an environment where occupancy rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is RYN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RYN a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Rayonier Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Rayonier Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.8/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +96.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RYN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RYN's 8 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Rayonier Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Specialty Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related REIT - Specialty stocks with 13-model coverage

GLPIGaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.QOC 7.9DLRDigital Realty Trust, Inc.QOC 7.6AMTAmerican Tower CorporationQOC 8.0LANDGladstone Land CorporationQOC 7.4EPREPR PropertiesQOC 8.2FPIFarmland Partners Inc.QOC 7.4WYWeyerhaeuser CompanyQOC 6.9FRMIFermi Inc.QOC 3.6SBACSBA Communications CorporationQOC 8.5NLCPNewLake Capital Partners, Inc.QOC 8.7SELFGlobal Self Storage, Inc.QOC 8.7

Read investment analysis: GLPI · DLR · AMT · LAND · EPR · FPI · WY · FRMI · SBAC · NLCP · SELF

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to RYN?

7 companies across all industries closest to RYN’s Quality of Company score of 7.8/10.

TBLATaboola.com Ltd.QOC 7.8JXNJackson Financial Inc.QOC 7.8SHOSunstone Hotel Investors, Inc.QOC 7.8AEOAmerican Eagle Outfitters, Inc.QOC 7.8CGThe Carlyle Group Inc.QOC 7.8HFBLHome Federal Bancorp, Inc. of LouisianaQOC 7.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: TBLA · JXN · SHO · AEO · CG · HFBL · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Rayonier Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Rayonier Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Rayonier Inc. (RYN)'s intrinsic value at $10.90 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.82 to $20.77. The Quality of Company score is 7.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RYN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $20.63, 1 of 8 active models suggest RYN may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $10.90, 47.2% below the current price of $20.63 — a consensus view that RYN is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Rayonier Inc.'s business model in REIT - Specialty.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.8 mean for RYN?

Rayonier Inc.'s QOC of 7.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RYN?

CirclFi analyzes RYN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on RYN?

Of the 8 models currently active on RYN, PWERM is the most bullish at $20.77 per share, and Sentiment SOTP is the most bearish at $0.82. CirclFi's published fair value for RYN is the median of that range, $10.90, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 183% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is RYN a value trap in 2026?

Rayonier Inc.'s Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Rayonier Inc. (RYN) has a median fair value of $10.90 — 47.2% below the current price of $20.63 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/RYN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this RYN valuation
  • Financial statements: Rayonier Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000052827) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for RYN as of ; valuations recomputed .

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