What Is Avista Corporation (AVA) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Avista Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $36.66. Trading at $42.09, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -12.9%), as 8 of 13 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, ML-RIV, places fair value at $64.04 (+52.2%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $7.82 (-81.4%). This +133.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Avista Corporation's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About AVA?
13 of 13 models are currently active for AVA. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AVA's intrinsic value at $20.50, implying -51.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AVA Rank in Electric & Other Services Combined?
Among 18 Electric & Other Services Combined stocks, AVA ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.3 indicates above-average quality.
The Electric & Other Services Combined sector introduces analytical considerations specific to utility businesses. For Avista Corporation, metrics like regulatory lag provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is AVA a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AVA a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Avista Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Avista Corporation earns a quality score of 7.3/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +133.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AVA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AVA's 13 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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