Alliant Energy Corporation (LNT) Fair Value 2026

LNT · Utilities - Regulated Electric ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Alliant Energy Corporation (LNT) trades at $68.03, versus a $41.32 median fair value across its 11 active models — 39.3% below the current price. QOC: 7.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $159.63.

Key Facts

Ticker
LNT
Price
$68.03
Quality Score
7.3/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +134.6% upside with 55% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Alliant Energy Corporation (LNT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Alliant Energy Corporation (LNT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $41.32, 39.3% below the current price of $68.03. Estimates range from $5.14 to $159.63. LNT scores 7.3/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. LNT’s -39.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Utilities - Regulated Electric sector median is -25.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Alliant Energy Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give LNT?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($68.03)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $159.63 +134.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $5.14 -92.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $38.51 -43.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $19.49 -71.4%
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What Is LNT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $5.14 to $159.63

CirclFi's 11 active models place Alliant Energy Corporation (LNT) between $5.14 and $159.63 per share, a spread of 374% of the median. The median of that range — $41.32 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for LNT, against a current price of $68.03.

Low · EPVHigh · Bayesian DCF
$5.14median $41.32$159.63
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$5.14
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$159.63
Model agreement2 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for LNT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on LNT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Alliant Energy Corporation (LNT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Alliant Energy Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $41.32. Trading at its current price of $68.03, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 11 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -39.3%. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +134.6% (fair value: $159.63), while EPV is the most conservative at -92.4% ($5.14). The spread between these extremes — +227.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About LNT?

11 of 13 models are currently active for LNT. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for LNT is $41.32 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $159.63 on its own, implying +134.6% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LNT Rank in Utilities - Regulated Electric?

Among 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, LNT ranks #18 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.3 indicates above-average quality.

Alliant Energy Corporation's positioning within the Utilities - Regulated Electric segment means that customer growth rate plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including rate case outcomes — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is LNT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LNT a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Alliant Energy Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Alliant Energy Corporation scores 7.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +227.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LNT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LNT's 11 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Alliant Energy Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Utilities - Regulated Electric Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks with 13-model coverage

CNPCenterPoint Energy, Inc.QOC 7.3DTEDTE Energy CompanyQOC 7.3EVRGEvergy, Inc.QOC 7.4EXCExelon CorporationQOC 7.3PEGPublic Service Enterprise Group IncorporatedQOC 7.4FTSFortis Inc.QOC 7.2WECWEC Energy Group, Inc.QOC 7.0NWENorthWestern Energy Group, Inc.QOC 6.2NGGNational Grid plcQOC 7.7CIGCompanhia Energética de Minas Gerais - CEMIGQOC 8.5GNEGenie Energy Ltd.QOC 8.4

Read investment analysis: CNP · DTE · EVRG · EXC · PEG · FTS · WEC · NWE · NGG · CIG · GNE

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to LNT?

7 companies across all industries closest to LNT’s Quality of Company score of 7.3/10.

ORAOrmat Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.3HIWHighwoods Properties, Inc.QOC 7.3CVBFCVB Financial Corp.QOC 7.3SONOSonos, Inc.QOC 7.3BNBrookfield CorporationQOC 7.3COURCoursera, Inc.QOC 7.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ORA · HIW · CVBF · SONO · BN · COUR · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Alliant Energy Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Alliant Energy Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Alliant Energy Corporation (LNT)'s intrinsic value at $41.32 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $5.14 to $159.63. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $159.63 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LNT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $68.03, 2 of 11 active models suggest LNT may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $41.32, 39.3% below the current price of $68.03 — a consensus view that LNT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Alliant Energy Corporation's business model in Utilities - Regulated Electric.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.3 mean for LNT?

Alliant Energy Corporation's QOC of 7.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LNT?

CirclFi analyzes LNT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on LNT?

Of the 11 models currently active on LNT, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $159.63 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $5.14. CirclFi's published fair value for LNT is the median of that range, $41.32, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 374% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is LNT a value trap in 2026?

Alliant Energy Corporation's Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Alliant Energy Corporation (LNT) has a median fair value of $41.32 — 39.3% below the current price of $68.03 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LNT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this LNT valuation
  • Financial statements: Alliant Energy Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000352541) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for LNT as of ; valuations recomputed .

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