What Is National Grid Transco, PLC Nati (NGG) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, National Grid Transco, PLC Nati's intrinsic value is estimated at $72.32. Trading at its current price of $83.41, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -13.3%. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +161.9% (fair value: $218.44), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -73.8% ($21.87). The spread between these extremes — +235.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About NGG?
12 of 13 models are currently active for NGG. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NGG's intrinsic value at $21.87, implying -73.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does NGG Rank in Natural Gas Transmission?
Among 18 Natural Gas Transmission stocks, NGG ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.7 indicates above-average quality.
National Grid Transco, PLC Nati's positioning within the Natural Gas Transmission segment means that breakeven oil price plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including basin-level economics — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is NGG a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NGG a score of 10/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for National Grid Transco, PLC Nati. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, National Grid Transco, PLC Nati scores 7.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +235.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every NGG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across NGG's 12 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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