What Is MGE Energy Inc. (MGEE) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, MGE Energy Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $45.94. Trading at its current price of $81.17, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 11 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -43.4%. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +69.8% (fair value: $137.86), while EPV is the most conservative at -90.4% ($7.78). The spread between these extremes — +160.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About MGEE?
13 of 13 models are currently active for MGEE. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MGEE's intrinsic value at $137.86, implying +69.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MGEE Rank in Electric, Gas & Sanitary Services?
Among 1 Electric, Gas & Sanitary Services stocks, MGEE ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places MGEE in the top tier.
The Electric, Gas & Sanitary Services sector introduces analytical considerations specific to oil and gas company businesses. For MGE Energy Inc., metrics like breakeven oil price provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is MGEE a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MGEE a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for MGE Energy Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, MGE Energy Inc. scores 8.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +160.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MGEE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MGEE's 13 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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