Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) Fair Value 2026

WYNN · Resorts & Casinos ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) trades at $95.26, versus a $75.87 median fair value across its 10 active models — 20.3% below the current price. QOC: 7.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $47.71.

Key Facts

Ticker
WYNN
Price
$95.26
Quality Score
7.7/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +85.6% upside with 57% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $75.87, 20.3% below the current price of $95.26. Estimates range from $17.65 to $176.77. WYNN scores 7.7/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. WYNN’s -20.3% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Resorts & Casinos sector median is +5.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Wynn Resorts, Limited Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give WYNN?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($95.26)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $47.71 -49.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $72.79 -23.6%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $176.77 +85.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $40.45 -57.5%
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What Is WYNN's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $17.65 to $176.77

CirclFi's 10 active models place Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) between $17.65 and $176.77 per share, a spread of 210% of the median. The median of that range — $75.87 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for WYNN, against a current price of $95.26.

Low · EROICHigh · First Chicago
$17.65median $75.87$176.77
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$17.65
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$176.77
Model agreement2 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for WYNN. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on WYNN, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Wynn Resorts, Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at $75.87. Trading at its current price of $95.26, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 8 of 10 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -20.3%. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $176.77 (+85.6%), versus EROIC at $17.65 (-81.5%). This +167.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About WYNN?

10 of 13 models are currently active for WYNN. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for WYNN is $75.87 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $47.71 on its own, implying -49.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does WYNN Rank in Resorts & Casinos?

Among 18 Resorts & Casinos stocks, WYNN ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.7 indicates above-average quality.

Wynn Resorts, Limited operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is WYNN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns WYNN a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Wynn Resorts, Limited. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Wynn Resorts, Limited scores 7.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +167.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every WYNN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across WYNN's 10 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Wynn Resorts, Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Resorts & Casinos Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Resorts & Casinos stocks with 13-model coverage

BYDBoyd Gaming CorporationQOC 7.8MGMMGM Resorts InternationalQOC 7.6MTNVail Resorts, Inc.QOC 7.8HGVHilton Grand Vacations Inc.QOC 7.4RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.QOC 8.3CPHCCanterbury Park Holding CorporationQOC 7.4CZRCaesars Entertainment, Inc.QOC 6.9PENNPENN Entertainment, Inc.QOC 5.6MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort, Inc.QOC 9.3TBTCTable Trac, Inc.QOC 9.5

Read investment analysis: BYD · MGM · MTN · HGV · RRR · CPHC · CZR · PENN · MCRI · TBTC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to WYNN?

7 companies across all industries closest to WYNN’s Quality of Company score of 7.7/10.

VZVerizon Communications Inc.QOC 7.7HASIHA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.QOC 7.7AVYAvery Dennison CorporationQOC 7.7HLIOHelios Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.7DSXDiana Shipping Inc.QOC 7.7BTMDbiote Corp.QOC 7.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: VZ · HASI · AVY · HLIO · DSX · BTMD · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Wynn Resorts, Limited’s Valuation?

What is Wynn Resorts, Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN)'s intrinsic value at $75.87 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $17.65 to $176.77. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $47.71 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is WYNN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $95.26, 2 of 10 active models suggest WYNN may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $75.87, 20.3% below the current price of $95.26 — a consensus view that WYNN is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Wynn Resorts, Limited's business model in Resorts & Casinos.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.7 mean for WYNN?

Wynn Resorts, Limited's QOC of 7.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on WYNN?

CirclFi analyzes WYNN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on WYNN?

Of the 10 models currently active on WYNN, First Chicago is the most bullish at $176.77 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $17.65. CirclFi's published fair value for WYNN is the median of that range, $75.87, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 210% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is WYNN a value trap in 2026?

Wynn Resorts, Limited's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) has a median fair value of $75.87 — 20.3% below the current price of $95.26 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/WYNN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this WYNN valuation
  • Financial statements: Wynn Resorts, Limited 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001174922) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for WYNN as of ; valuations recomputed .

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